Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253

June 10, 202118 counties in Nebraska; 26 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 10, 2021, 8:08 PM MDT for 18 counties in Nebraska; 26 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2021, 8:08 PM MDT (02:08 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2021, 2:00 AM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 44 counties

Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Corson County, SD, Custer County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Potter County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Walworth County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 8:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Meade, Perkins67 min
Jun 10, 8:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Lawrence, Meade46 min
Jun 10, 9:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Harding, Perkins43 min
Jun 10, 9:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Fall River, Oglala Lakota67 min
Jun 10, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Meade, Perkins61 min
Jun 10, 9:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes, Sioux32 min
Jun 10, 9:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins78 min
Jun 10, 9:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRFall River, Oglala Lakota41 min
Jun 10, 10:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade40 min
Jun 10, 10:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson39 min
Jun 10, 10:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Meade, Pennington57 min
Jun 10, 10:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSDawes, Sioux67 min
Jun 10, 10:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington51 min
Jun 10, 10:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Meade45 min
Jun 10, 10:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCuster, Oglala Lakota, Pennington43 min
Jun 10, 10:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Perkins, Ziebach76 min
Jun 10, 11:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Meade, Pennington, Ziebach70 min
Jun 10, 11:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan50 min
Jun 10, 11:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Haakon, Jackson, Mellette, Oglala Lakota, Pennington63 min
Jun 10, 11:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRZiebach33 min
Jun 11, 12:01 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan44 min
Jun 11, 12:02 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson, Dewey43 min
Jun 11, 12:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey, Jones, Stanley45 min
Jun 11, 12:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Jackson, Mellette, Todd60 min
Jun 11, 12:18 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Ziebach22 min
Jun 11, 12:27 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCherry, Sheridan48 min
Jun 11, 1:14 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRBennett, Mellette, Todd, Tripp91 min
Jun 11, 1:37 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABREdmunds, Faulk, McPherson, Potter, Walworth38 min
Jun 11, 1:54 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRFaulk, Potter, Sully36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1559 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1559 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
15.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

953 
WWUS20 KWNS 110205
SEL3  
SPC WW 110205
NEZ000-SDZ000-110800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 253
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
905 PM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  western and central Nebraska
  western and central South Dakota

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 905 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase in coverage with initial
supercells possible, transitioning to a squall line. Large hail,
damaging wind and a couple of tornadoes are possible this evening
into tonight.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 120
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles west northwest
of Mobridge SD to 55 miles southeast of Alliance NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 251...WW 252...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26035.

...Dial

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 7:28 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 12 more92 min
Jun 10, 10:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Sheridan, Sioux83 min
Jun 10, 11:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Cedar, Holt, Keya Paha, Knox and 4 more53 min
Jun 11, 1:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDakota, Dixon5 hr
Jun 11, 4:36 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Butler, Cedar, Colfax and 22 more5 hr
Jun 11, 6:28 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Burt, Butler, Cass, Colfax, Cuming and 18 more92 min
Jun 11, 7:30 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Gage, Jefferson, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe and 2 more7 hr
Jun 11, 9:28 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson2 hr
Jun 10, 10:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDewey, Haakon, Jackson, Jones, Meade, Mellette and 5 more85 min
Jun 11, 3:37 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brown, Charles Mix, Clark and 21 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.