Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 917

June 10, 202111 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 10, 2021, 10:50 PM MDT for 11 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2021, 10:50 PM MDT (04:50 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2021, 12:15 AM MDT
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 253

Counties Dewey County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jones County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1559 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1559 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
15.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

283 
ACUS11 KWNS 110451
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110450 
SDZ000-110615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0917
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021

Areas affected...Western into central SD

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253...

Valid 110450Z - 110615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253
continues.

SUMMARY...A swath of significant severe wind appears increasingly
likely through 06Z.

DISCUSSION...A 78 mph wind gust was recently reported across
northwest SD, and a 72 mph gust with storms across southwest SD. In
addition, a cluster moving over the KUDX radar was producing 70-80
kt radar velocities at very low elevation above ground. With
additional strong updrafts noted across west-central SD, and a cold
front accelerating into the region, the potential for a swath of
significant severe wind should increase over the next 1-2 hours as
outflows continue to consolidate and stronger low-level flow near
and behind the cold front begins to catch up with ongoing
convection, within an environment of strong buoyancy and effective
shear.

..Dean.. 06/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...UNR...

LAT...LON   43320265 44030288 44550294 45290260 45510106 45470035
            44580008 43590001 43510035 43370149 43320265

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 7:28 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Corson, Custer, Dewey, Fall River and 17 more92 min
Jun 10, 8:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBennett, Butte, Campbell, Corson, Custer, Dewey and 20 more6 hr
Jun 10, 10:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Butte, Corson, Custer, Dewey, Fall River and 8 more83 min
Jun 10, 11:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Bon Homme, Brookings, Brown, Brule and 35 more53 min
Jun 11, 1:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAurora, Beadle, Bon Homme, Brookings, Brown, Brule and 34 more5 hr
Jun 11, 3:37 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brookings, Brown, Charles Mix, Clark and 21 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.