Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 920

June 11, 20214 counties in Iowa; 24 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 11, 2021, 7:28 AM CDT for 4 counties in Iowa; 24 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2021, 7:28 AM CDT (12:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2021, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 257
All 28 counties

Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Boone County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2132 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2132 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
899 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

987 
ACUS11 KWNS 111228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111228 
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-111400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0920
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 AM CDT Fri Jun 11 2021

Areas affected...portions of eastern NE and western IA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 257...

Valid 111228Z - 111400Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 257
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts are possible for another couple of
hours across parts of eastern Nebraska and perhaps far southwest
Iowa

DISCUSSION...A south/southeastward-advancing bow is producing
near-severe level wind speeds this morning across northeast NE.
Recently, a 49 kt gust was measured at KOFK. Velocity data from KOAX
also shows strong inbound signatures while the VWP from KFSD
indicated a rear-inflow jet up to 65 kt around 1-2 km. The bowing
segment will tracking along a stronger instability gradient amid
modest shear and strong low level inhibition. Nevertheless, wind
gusts around 45-55 kt appear possible at least in the short term,
and could persist another 1-2 hours. A local extension of WW 257 or
a new downstream watch is being considered.

..Leitman.. 06/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...

LAT...LON   41889827 42339792 42489730 42539660 42469629 42249595
            41459549 40809553 40729609 40809734 41179816 41889827

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 5:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHarrison, Monona, Pottawattamie, Shelby5 hr
Jun 11, 8:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page7 hr
Jun 11, 9:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bremer, Butler, Calhoun, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 19 more115 min
Jun 10, 8:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 12 more92 min
Jun 10, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Banner, Blaine, Box Butte, Brown, Cherry and 12 more6 hr
Jun 10, 11:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Sheridan, Sioux83 min
Jun 11, 12:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boyd, Cedar, Holt, Keya Paha, Knox and 4 more53 min
Jun 11, 2:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDakota, Dixon5 hr
Jun 11, 10:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGage, Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe, Pawnee, Richardson2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.