Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260

June 11, 2021Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 32 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 11, 2021, 3:54 PM CDT for Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 32 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2021, 3:54 PM CDT (20:54 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 35 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline35 min
Jun 11, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass, Henry, Johnson, Pettis33 min
Jun 11, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Morgan54 min
Jun 11, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHenry, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline37 min
Jun 11, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Hickory, St. Clair66 min
Jun 11, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon61 min
Jun 11, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden62 min
Jun 11, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Polk64 min
Jun 11, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Crawford62 min
Jun 11, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede35 min
Jun 11, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee62 min
Jun 11, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene, Webster56 min
Jun 11, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Stone49 min
Jun 11, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper62 min
Jun 11, 7:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFGreene, Webster6 hr
Jun 11, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee40 min
Jun 11, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFChristian, Douglas6 hr
Jun 11, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFNewton35 min
Jun 11, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney42 min
Jun 11, 8:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney6 hr
Jun 11, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2202 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2202 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

386 
WWUS20 KWNS 112050
SEL0  
SPC WW 112050
KSZ000-MOZ000-120300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 260
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Fri Jun 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far southeast Kansas
  Central to southwest Missouri

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of strong to severe storms will likely persist
southeast and then south across central to southwest Missouri.
Damaging winds will be the primary threat.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south of
Jefferson City MO to 35 miles west northwest of Joplin MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 259...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
33030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 8:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall and 4 more7 hr
Jun 11, 10:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha and 1 more2 hr
Jun 11, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Dickinson and 17 more6 hr
Jun 11, 1:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth, Miami and 3 more95 min
Jun 11, 2:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 31 more113 min
Jun 11, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Franklin, Johnson, Linn, Miami92 min
Jun 11, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Cherokee, Coffey, Crawford and 13 more2 hr
Jun 11, 6:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood and 10 more117 min
Jun 11, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk and 10 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.