Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 18

March 12, 202135 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 12, 2021, 8:38 PM CST for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2021, 8:38 PM CST (02:38 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2021, 2:00 AM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Armstrong County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 8:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCottle32 min
Mar 12, 9:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Gray, Hutchinson, Potter, Roberts79 min
Mar 12, 9:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts19 min
Mar 12, 9:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard44 min
Mar 12, 10:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Floyd, Lubbock59 min
Mar 12, 10:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAGray, Hemphill, Roberts, Wheeler29 min
Mar 12, 10:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Dickens, Floyd, Motley25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 384 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
92 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
512 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

698 
WWUS20 KWNS 130234
SEL8  
SPC WW 130234
TXZ000-130800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 18
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM CST Fri Mar 12 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  West and Northwest Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 835 PM
  until 200 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple cluster of intense thunderstorms are affecting
the watch area.  Storms are likely to re-develop in the next few
hours, maintaining a risk of a few severe storms capable of large
hail and damaging wind gusts.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Plainview TX to 35 miles east of Childress TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 8:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarmon, Jackson, Tillman64 min
Mar 12, 11:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Harmon, Roger Mills2 hr
Mar 13, 7:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron2 hr
Mar 13, 1:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarmon113 min
Mar 13, 1:06 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman, Motley54 min
Mar 13, 11:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 7 more117 min
Mar 13, 12:36 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 8 more5 hr
Mar 13, 2:26 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 19 more7 hr
Mar 13, 2:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 18 more2 hr
Mar 13, 3:23 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBorden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Fisher and 18 more6 hr
Mar 13, 3:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Donley, Floyd, Hale and 5 more59 min
Mar 13, 4:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Hutchinson, Randall65 min
Mar 13, 5:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 18 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.