Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 18
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 12, 2021, 8:38 PM CST for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2021, 8:38 PM CST (02:38 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 13, 2021, 2:00 AM CST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 35 counties
Armstrong County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Motley County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 8:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cottle | 32 min |
| Mar 12, 9:11 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Gray, Hutchinson, Potter, Roberts | 79 min |
| Mar 12, 9:14 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts | 19 min |
| Mar 12, 9:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Foard | 44 min |
| Mar 12, 10:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Floyd, Lubbock | 59 min |
| Mar 12, 10:09 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Gray, Hemphill, Roberts, Wheeler | 29 min |
| Mar 12, 10:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Motley | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 566 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 92 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 384 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 512 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
698
WWUS20 KWNS 130234
SEL8
SPC WW 130234
TXZ000-130800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 18
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM CST Fri Mar 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West and Northwest Texas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 835 PM
until 200 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple cluster of intense thunderstorms are affecting
the watch area. Storms are likely to re-develop in the next few
hours, maintaining a risk of a few severe storms capable of large
hail and damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Plainview TX to 35 miles east of Childress TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 8:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harmon, Jackson, Tillman | 64 min |
| Mar 12, 11:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Harmon, Roger Mills | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 7:36 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cimarron | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 1:52 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Harmon | 113 min |
| Mar 13, 1:06 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman, Motley | 54 min |
| Mar 13, 11:48 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 7 more | 117 min |
| Mar 13, 12:36 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 8 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 13, 2:26 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 13, 2:39 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 18 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:23 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Borden, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Fisher and 18 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Donley, Floyd, Hale and 5 more | 59 min |
| Mar 13, 4:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Carson, Hutchinson, Randall | 65 min |
| Mar 13, 5:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 18 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.