Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 21

March 13, 202124 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 13, 2021, 3:23 PM CST for 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2021, 3:23 PM CST (21:23 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2021, 9:38 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 24 counties

Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 3:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector, Midland, Upton40 min
Mar 13, 3:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland, Upton52 min
Mar 13, 4:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Upton50 min
Mar 13, 4:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland47 min
Mar 13, 4:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton49 min
Mar 13, 5:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry38 min
Mar 13, 5:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry46 min
Mar 13, 5:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Midland, Reagan, Upton44 min
Mar 13, 5:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry42 min
Mar 13, 6:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock37 min
Mar 13, 6:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFHoward, Mitchell, Scurry48 min
Mar 13, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Reagan, Upton45 min
Mar 13, 6:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling58 min
Mar 13, 6:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Upton39 min
Mar 13, 6:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFMitchell, Scurry50 min
Mar 13, 7:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling36 min
Mar 13, 7:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher, Nolan63 min
Mar 13, 7:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett19 min
Mar 13, 7:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke51 min
Mar 13, 7:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan, Upton65 min
Mar 13, 7:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Sterling, Tom Green46 min
Mar 13, 8:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTTom Green47 min
Mar 13, 8:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Runnels44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 739 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 206 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
739 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-205 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

723 
WWUS20 KWNS 132120
SEL1  
SPC WW 132120
TXZ000-140400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CST Sat Mar 13 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  West Texas

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
  1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph possible
  Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
    possible

SUMMARY...Initial clusters should evolve into a linear segment that
may attempt to bow across eastern portions of the Permian Basin into
the Big Country. A couple tornadoes are possible later this evening
as the bowing line intensifies or if a trailing semi-discrete
supercell can be maintained across the Lower Pecos Valley.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 80 miles northeast of Big Spring TX to
55 miles south southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 19...WW 20...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 8:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Briscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens and 18 more64 min
Mar 12, 8:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Cochran and 29 more5 hr
Mar 12, 11:08 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 26 more2 hr
Mar 13, 1:06 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman, Motley54 min
Mar 13, 7:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hartley, Moore, Oldham, Sherman2 hr
Mar 13, 11:48 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 7 more117 min
Mar 13, 12:36 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 8 more5 hr
Mar 13, 1:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 9 more113 min
Mar 13, 2:26 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 19 more7 hr
Mar 13, 2:39 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 18 more2 hr
Mar 13, 3:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Donley, Floyd, Hale and 5 more59 min
Mar 13, 4:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Carson, Hutchinson, Randall65 min
Mar 13, 5:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 18 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.