Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 21
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 13, 2021, 3:23 PM CST for 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2021, 3:23 PM CST (21:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 13, 2021, 9:38 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 24 counties
Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 3:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton | 40 min |
| Mar 13, 3:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland, Upton | 52 min |
| Mar 13, 4:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Upton | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 4:43 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Glasscock, Midland, Pecos, Reagan, Upton | 49 min |
| Mar 13, 5:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 38 min |
| Mar 13, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 5:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Midland, Reagan, Upton | 44 min |
| Mar 13, 5:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 42 min |
| Mar 13, 6:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 6:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Howard, Mitchell, Scurry | 48 min |
| Mar 13, 6:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan, Upton | 45 min |
| Mar 13, 6:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Sterling | 58 min |
| Mar 13, 6:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Pecos, Upton | 39 min |
| Mar 13, 6:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 50 min |
| Mar 13, 7:02 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Sterling | 36 min |
| Mar 13, 7:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 63 min |
| Mar 13, 7:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett | 19 min |
| Mar 13, 7:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke | 51 min |
| Mar 13, 7:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reagan, Upton | 65 min |
| Mar 13, 7:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Irion, Sterling, Tom Green | 46 min |
| Mar 13, 8:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Tom Green | 47 min |
| Mar 13, 8:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke, Runnels | 44 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 739 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -205 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 661 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 206 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 225 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted.
723
WWUS20 KWNS 132120
SEL1
SPC WW 132120
TXZ000-140400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 21
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CST Sat Mar 13 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
West Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
SUMMARY...Initial clusters should evolve into a linear segment that
may attempt to bow across eastern portions of the Permian Basin into
the Big Country. A couple tornadoes are possible later this evening
as the bowing line intensifies or if a trailing semi-discrete
supercell can be maintained across the Lower Pecos Valley.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 80 miles northeast of Big Spring TX to
55 miles south southeast of Fort Stockton TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 19...WW 20...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 8:11 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Briscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens and 18 more | 64 min |
| Mar 12, 8:38 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Baylor, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Cochran and 29 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 12, 11:08 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 26 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 1:06 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman, Motley | 54 min |
| Mar 13, 7:36 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hartley, Moore, Oldham, Sherman | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 11:48 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 7 more | 117 min |
| Mar 13, 12:36 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hockley and 8 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 13, 1:52 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 9 more | 113 min |
| Mar 13, 2:26 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 19 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 13, 2:39 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 18 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Donley, Floyd, Hale and 5 more | 59 min |
| Mar 13, 4:10 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Carson, Hutchinson, Randall | 65 min |
| Mar 13, 5:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 18 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.