Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 170

March 13, 202119 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 13, 2021, 6:21 PM CST for 19 counties in Texas. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2021, 6:21 PM CST (00:21 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2021, 8:15 PM CST
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 21

Counties Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -33 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3140 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
380 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

621 
ACUS11 KWNS 140021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140021 
TXZ000-140215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0170
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0621 PM CST Sat Mar 13 2021

Areas affected...West TX

Concerning...Tornado Watch 21...

Valid 140021Z - 140215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 21 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will progress across the remainder of ww021
over the next 2-3 hours.

DISCUSSION...Latest satellite imagery depicts a well-defined upper
trough over western NM with the leading edge of strong forcing
beginning to influence the back edge of ongoing convection. Broken
band of storms that currently extends from Scurry-Glasscock-Pecos
County will likely be supported enough to migrate east-northeast
across the remainder of ww021 later this evening. While embedded
supercells could produce a few tornadoes, it appears hail/wind may
be the primary severe threats as the primary storm mode transitions
away from supercells, in response to the approaching trough.

..Darrow.. 03/14/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   30170347 33030146 33039957 30180164 30170347

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 8:42 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Childress, Coke and 37 more93 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.