Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 141

May 4, 20214 counties in Alabama; 17 counties in Kentucky; 38 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 4, 2021, 5:13 AM CDT for 4 counties in Alabama; 17 counties in Kentucky; 38 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2021, 5:13 AM CDT (10:13 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2021, 10:30 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 59 counties

Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Butler County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hart County, KY, Logan County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Warren County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Moore County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 5:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKAdair, Cumberland, Metcalfe3 hr
May 4, 5:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Robertson, Sumner51 min
May 4, 5:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBarren, Edmonson, Metcalfe, Warren3 hr
May 4, 5:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKLogan, Simpson, Warren3 hr
May 4, 5:56 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Robertson, Sumner34 min
May 4, 6:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Simpson20 min
May 4, 6:10 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXRobertson, Sumner22 min
May 4, 6:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson44 min
May 4, 6:21 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXSumner, Trousdale, Wilson24 min
May 4, 6:42 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXMacon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale33 min
May 4, 6:51 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKAdair, Barren, Clinton, Cumberland, Metcalfe, Monroe and 1 more6 hr
May 4, 6:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon, Putnam, Smith and 2 more38 min
May 4, 7:11 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXJackson, Smith34 min
May 4, 7:27 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXDeKalb, Putnam, Smith33 min
May 4, 7:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXClay, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton, Pickett and 2 more46 min
May 4, 7:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Coffee, DeKalb, Rutherford, Warren40 min
May 4, 7:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLincoln, Moore40 min
May 4, 7:48 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXDeKalb, Putnam, White27 min
May 4, 7:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCoffee, Cumberland, DeKalb, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren and 1 more37 min
May 4, 8:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Fentress, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, White40 min
May 4, 8:07 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXCumberland, White23 min
May 4, 8:24 AM CDTTornado WarningOHXCumberland, White11 min
May 4, 8:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Morgan, Rhea, Roane38 min
May 4, 8:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Rhea27 min
May 4, 9:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson26 min
May 4, 9:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNDeKalb, Jackson36 min
May 4, 10:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMRXHamilton, Marion, Sequatchie3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2263 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2263 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1050 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
7.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

302 
WWUS20 KWNS 041011
SEL1  
SPC WW 041011
ALZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-041600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 141
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Alabama
  South-central Kentucky
  Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Tuesday morning from 515 AM until 1100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will continue generally eastward
across the region through the early morning hours with damaging
winds as the primary severe risk. This scenario is supported by a
very unstable air mass (noted in a special sounding from Nashville
at 06Z) and moderate-strength environmental winds.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of
Bowling Green KY to 95 miles south of Nashville TN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 7:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bullock, Chambers, Coosa, Elmore, Lee and 4 more62 min
May 4, 7:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison89 min
May 4, 8:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene, Hale, Marengo and 4 more117 min
May 4, 9:03 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Cullman and 20 more117 min
May 4, 9:18 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton and 28 more7 hr
May 4, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Greene, Marengo, Sumter88 min
May 4, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 19 more117 min
May 4, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw and 20 more6 hr
May 4, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw and 20 more89 min
May 4, 5:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Coffee, Covington, Dale and 7 more85 min
May 4, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Coosa, Elmore, Lowndes, Macon, Montgomery and 1 more65 min
May 4, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw and 8 more6 hr
May 4, 1:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 13 more114 min
May 4, 1:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Christian, Clinton and 19 more118 min
May 4, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 13 more6 hr
May 4, 4:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Ballard, Barren, Butler, Caldwell and 25 more88 min
May 4, 8:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Blount, Bradley, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon and 7 more3 hr
May 4, 11:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Shelby2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Alabama, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.