Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 143

May 4, 20215 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 4, 2021, 9:37 AM EDT for 5 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2021, 9:37 AM EDT (13:37 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2021, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Graham County, NC, Macon County, NC, Swain County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Roane County, TN, Sevier County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 9:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBledsoe, Morgan, Rhea, Roane38 min
May 4, 10:03 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXAnderson, Blount, Knox, Loudon, Roane13 min
May 4, 10:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Jefferson, Knox, Sevier34 min
May 4, 10:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Monroe30 min
May 4, 10:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPGraham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain36 min
May 4, 11:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Jefferson, Sevier22 min
May 4, 12:01 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningMRXCherokee, Clay3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-114 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
753 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

061 
WWUS20 KWNS 041331
SEL3  
SPC WW 041331
NCZ000-TNZ000-041700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 143
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
930 AM EDT Tue May 4 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest North Carolina
  Eastern Tennessee

* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 930 AM until
  100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...An MCS across Middle Tennessee should spread east into a
portion of eastern Tennessee and perhaps southwest North Carolina
before weakening. Damaging winds and a brief tornado are the primary
hazards.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of
Knoxville TN to 65 miles south southwest of Knoxville TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 141...WW 142...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
28040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 1:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Northampton, Person, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 2 more56 min
May 4, 1:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Macon114 min
May 4, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Bladen, Cabarrus, Caswell, Chatham and 35 more119 min
May 4, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnson, Bladen, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee and 7 more3 hr
May 4, 2:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dyer and 20 more114 min
May 4, 2:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cumberland, Fentress, Jackson, Macon, Overton and 3 more118 min
May 4, 2:41 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Chester, Crockett, Decatur, Dickson and 24 more6 hr
May 4, 5:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 45 more88 min
May 4, 6:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 32 more5 hr
May 4, 8:31 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 33 more89 min
May 4, 12:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFayette, Hardeman, McNairy, Shelby2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.