Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140

May 4, 20215 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 4, 2021, 1:41 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2021, 1:41 AM CDT (06:41 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 72 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, New Madrid, Ripley, Wayne62 min
May 4, 1:46 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGClay, Greene3 hr
May 4, 1:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Poinsett48 min
May 4, 2:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman43 min
May 4, 2:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene52 min
May 4, 2:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard53 min
May 4, 2:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Craighead, Mississippi50 min
May 4, 2:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett41 min
May 4, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton, Hickman55 min
May 4, 2:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHStoddard5 hr
May 4, 2:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi46 min
May 4, 3:05 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHChristian, Muhlenberg7 hr
May 4, 3:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Obion, Weakley47 min
May 4, 3:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman40 min
May 4, 3:59 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHCalloway, Graves31 min
May 4, 4:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Christian, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg52 min
May 4, 4:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys, Stewart48 min
May 4, 4:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley27 min
May 4, 4:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Livingston, Lyon and 1 more45 min
May 4, 4:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson, Henry47 min
May 4, 4:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHCaldwell, Hopkins, Lyon, Muhlenberg5 hr
May 4, 4:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart55 min
May 4, 5:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Perry58 min
May 4, 5:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg, Todd39 min
May 4, 5:14 AM CDTTornado WarningPAHChristian, Muhlenberg, Todd21 min
May 4, 5:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Robertson, Sumner51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3608 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3608 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1081 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
15.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

942 
WWUS20 KWNS 040637
SEL0  
SPC WW 040637
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-041300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 140
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Arkansas
  Far Southern Illinois
  Western Kentucky
  Southeast Missouri
  Western/Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Tuesday morning from 140 AM until 800 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will continue to organize and
accelerate east-northeastward overnight across the region. Damaging
winds can be expected through the early morning hours, along some
potential for isolated large hail and/or a brief tornado.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of
Walnut Ridge AR to 20 miles southeast of Clarksville TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 137...WW 138...WW 139...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark and 60 more2 hr
May 3, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark and 50 more7 hr
May 3, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Madison, Marion and 2 more83 min
May 3, 11:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 27 more86 min
May 4, 1:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 5 more114 min
May 4, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Garland and 16 more88 min
May 4, 4:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden88 min
May 4, 6:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 8 more2 hr
May 4, 10:52 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 2 more7 hr
May 4, 11:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Phillips2 hr
May 4, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPhillips5 hr
May 4, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Greene and 17 more2 hr
May 3, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more3 hr
May 4, 1:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Christian, Clinton and 19 more118 min
May 4, 5:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Clinton, Cumberland and 11 more5 hr
May 4, 7:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 33 more89 min
May 4, 8:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Blount, Bradley, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon and 7 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.