Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 140
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 4, 2021, 1:41 AM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 4, 2021, 1:41 AM CDT (06:41 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 72 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Union County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, New Madrid, Ripley, Wayne | 62 min |
| May 4, 1:46 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 3 hr |
| May 4, 1:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Greene, Poinsett | 48 min |
| May 4, 2:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman | 43 min |
| May 4, 2:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Greene | 52 min |
| May 4, 2:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard | 53 min |
| May 4, 2:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Clay, Craighead, Mississippi | 50 min |
| May 4, 2:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 41 min |
| May 4, 2:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Fulton, Hickman | 55 min |
| May 4, 2:55 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Stoddard | 5 hr |
| May 4, 2:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 46 min |
| May 4, 3:05 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Christian, Muhlenberg | 7 hr |
| May 4, 3:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Obion, Weakley | 47 min |
| May 4, 3:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman | 40 min |
| May 4, 3:59 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Calloway, Graves | 31 min |
| May 4, 4:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Calloway, Christian, Lyon, Marshall, Trigg | 52 min |
| May 4, 4:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Houston, Humphreys, Stewart | 48 min |
| May 4, 4:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley | 27 min |
| May 4, 4:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Christian, Crittenden, Hopkins, Livingston, Lyon and 1 more | 45 min |
| May 4, 4:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson, Henry | 47 min |
| May 4, 4:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Caldwell, Hopkins, Lyon, Muhlenberg | 5 hr |
| May 4, 4:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart | 55 min |
| May 4, 5:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, Perry | 58 min |
| May 4, 5:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg, Todd | 39 min |
| May 4, 5:14 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Christian, Muhlenberg, Todd | 21 min |
| May 4, 5:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Robertson, Sumner | 51 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3608 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1081 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 199 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.3
- Supercell composite
- 15.3
The text
As transmitted.
942 WWUS20 KWNS 040637 SEL0 SPC WW 040637 ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-041300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 140 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 140 AM CDT Tue May 4 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northeast Arkansas Far Southern Illinois Western Kentucky Southeast Missouri Western/Middle Tennessee * Effective this Tuesday morning from 140 AM until 800 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A cluster of storms will continue to organize and accelerate east-northeastward overnight across the region. Damaging winds can be expected through the early morning hours, along some potential for isolated large hail and/or a brief tornado. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles southwest of Walnut Ridge AR to 20 miles southeast of Clarksville TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 137...WW 138...WW 139... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark and 60 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark and 50 more | 7 hr |
| May 3, 10:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Madison, Marion and 2 more | 83 min |
| May 3, 11:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 27 more | 86 min |
| May 4, 1:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 5 more | 114 min |
| May 4, 2:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Garland and 16 more | 88 min |
| May 4, 4:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden | 88 min |
| May 4, 6:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 8 more | 2 hr |
| May 4, 10:52 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 2 more | 7 hr |
| May 4, 11:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Phillips | 2 hr |
| May 4, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Phillips | 5 hr |
| May 4, 1:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Greene and 17 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper and 2 more | 3 hr |
| May 4, 1:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Christian, Clinton and 19 more | 118 min |
| May 4, 5:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Clinton, Cumberland and 11 more | 5 hr |
| May 4, 7:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bedford, Bledsoe, Bradley, Campbell, Cannon and 33 more | 89 min |
| May 4, 8:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Blount, Bradley, Jefferson, Knox, Loudon and 7 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.