Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 137
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 3, 2021, 9:10 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2021, 9:10 PM CDT (02:10 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2021, 4:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 84 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Taney County, MO, Wayne County, MO, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 9:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Sebastian | 57 min |
| May 3, 9:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 37 min |
| May 3, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 39 min |
| May 3, 10:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin | 15 min |
| May 3, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton | 40 min |
| May 3, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 36 min |
| May 3, 10:12 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 3 hr |
| May 3, 10:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Franklin, Madison | 48 min |
| May 3, 10:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk | 46 min |
| May 3, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 43 min |
| May 3, 10:19 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Washington | 3 hr |
| May 3, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison, Washington | 39 min |
| May 3, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott | 47 min |
| May 3, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope, Yell | 46 min |
| May 3, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison, Washington | 44 min |
| May 3, 10:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy | 52 min |
| May 3, 10:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 51 min |
| May 3, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Red River, Smith, Titus, Upshur and 1 more | 65 min |
| May 3, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott | 49 min |
| May 3, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion | 23 min |
| May 3, 11:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Yell | 10 min |
| May 3, 11:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Marion, Newton, Searcy | 27 min |
| May 3, 11:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll | 52 min |
| May 3, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Pope, Van Buren | 47 min |
| May 3, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Yell | 23 min |
| May 3, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison | 13 min |
| May 3, 11:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott, Yell | 37 min |
| May 3, 11:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Boone, Marion, Newton, Pope, Searcy and 2 more | 51 min |
| May 3, 11:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pope, Yell | 29 min |
| May 3, 11:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Yell | 29 min |
| May 3, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope, Yell | 21 min |
| May 3, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 61 min |
| May 3, 11:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk, Scott | 44 min |
| May 3, 11:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Perry, Pope, Yell | 27 min |
| May 3, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Stone, Van Buren | 50 min |
| May 4, 12:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Scott, Yell | 19 min |
| May 4, 12:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard, Marion, Searcy, Stone | 35 min |
| May 4, 12:14 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Ozark | 6 hr |
| May 4, 12:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk | 45 min |
| May 4, 12:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Howard, Little River, Sevier | 34 min |
| May 4, 12:34 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 41 min |
| May 4, 12:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Polk | 26 min |
| May 4, 12:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Montgomery, Pike | 45 min |
| May 4, 12:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lawrence, Randolph | 31 min |
| May 4, 1:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Independence, Jackson, Lawrence, Sharp | 39 min |
| May 4, 1:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 52 min |
| May 4, 1:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood | 50 min |
| May 4, 1:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon | 41 min |
| May 4, 1:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Yell | 52 min |
| May 4, 1:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Montgomery, Perry, Saline | 44 min |
| May 4, 1:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp | 43 min |
| May 4, 1:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring, Saline | 34 min |
| May 4, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Carter, New Madrid, Ripley, Wayne | 62 min |
| May 4, 1:55 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Ripley | 21 min |
| May 4, 2:03 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Hot Spring, Perry, Pope and 2 more | 42 min |
| May 4, 2:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White | 42 min |
| May 4, 2:27 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Ripley | 3 hr |
| May 4, 2:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White | 38 min |
| May 4, 2:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 32 min |
| May 4, 3:07 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie | 14 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1558 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -63 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 972 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 57 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 4.1
The text
As transmitted.
373
WWUS20 KWNS 040207
SEL7
SPC WW 040207
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-040900-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 137
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Most of western and central Arkansas
Extreme northwestern Louisiana
Extreme southern and southeastern Missouri
Extreme southeastern Oklahoma
Northeastern Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 910 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms are expected to spread
east-northeastward toward Arkansas overnight from eastern Oklahoma
and northeastern Texas. There will be a tendency for storms to grow
into larger clusters and line segments, with an increasing threat
for damaging winds, with isolated significant gusts possible.
Otherwise, any lingering supercells will be capable of producing
isolated very large hail, and a tornado or two may occur with
embedded circulations.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast
of Flippin AR to 5 miles southwest of Longview TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133...WW 134...WW
135...WW 136...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark and 60 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 10:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Madison, Marion and 2 more | 83 min |
| May 3, 11:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 27 more | 86 min |
| May 4, 1:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 5 more | 114 min |
| May 4, 1:41 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Mississippi and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 4, 2:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Garland and 16 more | 88 min |
| May 4, 4:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden | 88 min |
| May 4, 6:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 8 more | 2 hr |
| May 4, 10:52 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 2 more | 7 hr |
| May 4, 11:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Lee, Phillips | 2 hr |
| May 4, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Phillips | 5 hr |
| May 4, 1:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner, Greene and 17 more | 2 hr |
| May 4, 8:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, East Feliciana and 14 more | 117 min |
| May 4, 12:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant and 9 more | 89 min |
| May 4, 3:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | East Baton Rouge, Livingston, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington, West Baton Rouge | 6 hr |
| May 4, 4:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 89 min |
| May 3, 7:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Hughes and 7 more | 97 min |
| May 4, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Love and 3 more | 2 hr |
| May 4, 1:07 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Garvin and 7 more | 83 min |
| May 3, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 9 more | 4 hr |
| May 3, 8:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays, Kendall | 60 min |
| May 3, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jones, Nolan and 6 more | 95 min |
| May 3, 9:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Coryell, Ellis, Falls, Freestone and 12 more | 53 min |
| May 3, 10:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta and 28 more | 5 hr |
| May 4, 8:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Chambers, Colorado and 22 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.