Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 138
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 3, 2021, 10:22 PM CDT for 34 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2021, 10:22 PM CDT (03:22 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 34 counties
Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 42 min |
| May 3, 10:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Rains | 54 min |
| May 3, 10:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bell, Falls, McLennan | 43 min |
| May 3, 10:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Henderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt | 44 min |
| May 4, 12:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3299 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1213 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.6
- Supercell composite
- 13.9
The text
As transmitted.
781
WWUS20 KWNS 040315
SEL8
SPC WW 040315
TXZ000-040800-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 138
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1015 PM CDT Mon May 3 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of central and north central Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1015 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Earlier supercells near and east of I-35 have evolved more
into clusters with the potential for damaging winds/large hail to
persist for a few more hours overnight as the storms spread
east-northeastward. In the short term, an isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out. Farther west, there is some potential for the
elevated severe storms in northwest Texas (with a prior history of
large hail and damaging winds) to continue eastward into north Texas
before weakening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles northeast of
Dallas TX to 25 miles southeast of Temple TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133...WW 134...WW
135...WW 136...WW 137...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal and 9 more | 4 hr |
| May 3, 7:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Collin, Dallas, Denton, Ellis, Fannin and 6 more | 97 min |
| May 3, 8:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays, Kendall | 60 min |
| May 3, 8:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Gregg, Marion, Morris and 4 more | 2 hr |
| May 3, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Eastland, Fisher, Haskell, Jones, Nolan and 6 more | 95 min |
| May 3, 9:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Franklin, Gregg and 10 more | 7 hr |
| May 3, 9:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Coryell, Ellis, Falls, Freestone and 12 more | 53 min |
| May 3, 11:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Falls, Franklin, Freestone and 12 more | 86 min |
| May 4, 6:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Camp, Cass and 23 more | 2 hr |
| May 4, 8:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Chambers, Colorado and 22 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.