Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 258

June 15, 20165 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 15, 2016, 12:39 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2016, 12:39 PM CDT (17:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 152 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Scott County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Ballard County, KY, Barren County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Casey County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marion County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Clay County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

52 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 1:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle41 min
Jun 15, 1:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer37 min
Jun 15, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGraves, McCracken46 min
Jun 15, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway, Marshall46 min
Jun 15, 1:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarlisle, Hickman38 min
Jun 15, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHTrigg36 min
Jun 15, 2:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCalloway35 min
Jun 15, 2:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHDaviess, McLean, Muhlenberg18 min
Jun 15, 2:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Stewart46 min
Jun 15, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Ohio42 min
Jun 15, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry, Weakley42 min
Jun 15, 2:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHCalloway, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Marshall, Trigg2 hr
Jun 15, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLake, Obion, Weakley29 min
Jun 15, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton, Hickman28 min
Jun 15, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian28 min
Jun 15, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Ohio41 min
Jun 15, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMuhlenberg26 min
Jun 15, 2:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMontgomery, Stewart44 min
Jun 15, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Henry, Weakley57 min
Jun 15, 2:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Simpson, Warren54 min
Jun 15, 2:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLake, Obion, Weakley66 min
Jun 15, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXHouston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Stewart47 min
Jun 15, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd45 min
Jun 15, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Meade33 min
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Butler, Edmonson, Warren47 min
Jun 15, 3:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGHenry, Obion, Weakley3 hr
Jun 15, 3:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Montgomery, Robertson36 min
Jun 15, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Larue, Nelson32 min
Jun 15, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson31 min
Jun 15, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois, Orange43 min
Jun 15, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Logan, Simpson25 min
Jun 15, 3:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Robertson, Sumner, Wilson38 min
Jun 15, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot66 min
Jun 15, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Decatur, Hardin30 min
Jun 15, 4:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Sumner, Wilson36 min
Jun 15, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOrange, Washington33 min
Jun 15, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Williamson28 min
Jun 15, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Coffee, Rutherford, Warren, Wilson37 min
Jun 15, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDeKalb, Putnam, Smith, Warren, White29 min
Jun 15, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Marshall27 min
Jun 15, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXLawrence, Wayne37 min
Jun 15, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois, Orange50 min
Jun 15, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Coffee, Grundy, Rutherford, Warren48 min
Jun 15, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDeKalb, Putnam, Van Buren, Warren, White31 min
Jun 15, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence, Marshall24 min
Jun 15, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Marshall21 min
Jun 15, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Coffee, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren51 min
Jun 15, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Obion35 min
Jun 15, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Perry31 min
Jun 15, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLauderdale, Shelby, Tipton41 min
Jun 15, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPemiscot28 min
Jun 15, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Shelby38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 307 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
307 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
664 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 7:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChristian, Clay, DeWitt, Effingham, Fayette, Logan and 7 more117 min
Jun 14, 8:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Whiteside84 min
Jun 14, 11:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Kane, Kendall, LaSalle, Lee, Ogle93 min
Jun 15, 12:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 3 more85 min
Jun 15, 2:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas and 6 more97 min
Jun 15, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Douglas and 9 more5 hr
Jun 15, 6:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCWabash59 min
Jun 15, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson, Scott53 min
Jun 15, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFloyd, Harlan, Johnson, Knott, Lawrence, Leslie and 5 more93 min
Jun 15, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Coahoma, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola and 3 more91 min
Jun 15, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDent, Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Shannon and 3 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.