Severe Thunderstorm Warning 70, NWS Nashville, TN

024 
WWUS54 KOHX 151933
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
233 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

TNC083-161-152000-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160615T2000Z/
STEWART TN-HOUSTON TN-
233 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR STEWART AND NORTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES...

AT 232 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DOVER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOVER...BIG ROCK...HOUSTON COUNTY AIRPORT...INDIAN MOUND AND LAND
BETWEEN THE LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS STORM HAS PRODUCED WIND DAMAGE
UPSTREAM ALREADY. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 8764 3658 8763 3640 8773 3629 8792
      3637 8800 3645 8806 3647 8805 3649 8806
      3652 8804 3656 8803 3668 8807 3666 8785
      3663 8785
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 303DEG 38KT 3654 8791 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

AL

797 
WWUS54 KOHX 151950
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
250 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

TNC083-151958-
/O.CAN.KOHX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160615T2000Z/
HOUSTON TN-
250 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...SEVERE STORMS REMAIN CLOSE BY SO PLEASE
STAY ABREAST OF THE SITUATION.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3664 8764 3658 8763 3640 8773 3636 8786
      3641 8794 3652 8804 3656 8803 3661 8803
      3667 8794 3666 8785 3663 8785
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 299DEG 39KT 3655 8771 

$$

TNC161-152000-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-160615T2000Z/
STEWART TN-
250 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR STEWART COUNTY...

AT 248 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BIG ROCK...OR
8 MILES NORTHEAST OF DOVER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOVER...BIG ROCK...INDIAN MOUND AND LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING WINDS OF
AROUND 65 MPH IN DOVER. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 8764 3658 8763 3640 8773 3636 8786
      3641 8794 3652 8804 3656 8803 3661 8803
      3667 8794 3666 8785 3663 8785
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 299DEG 39KT 3655 8771 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1249 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The decision was made just a short while ago to issue a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch for most of Middle TN. A line has developed
over the last hour NW of the TN River and will push SEWD over the
next several hours. While there is a tight gradient of CAPE
(strongest in the NW), cloud cover from this morning has slowed
the increase of instability. As clouds thin over the next hour,
expect CAPE to grow to 3000 J/KG. However, shear is still lagging.
20 kts of deep layer shear will reduce widespread severe storms,
even with this current watch. That said, damaging straight line
winds will be possible as we move through the afternoon with just
the instability parameters alone. Please remain weather aware as
we move through the afternoon hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A line of showers and thunderstorms has developed NW of KCKV. This
line will push SEWD over the next several hours and likely affect
all 3 of our mid-state terminals through 00Z this evening. Gusty
winds and reduced vis are the mostly likely effects from this line
for a couple of hours at each terminal. Have tried to time this
line out with TEMPOs for KCKV/KBNA and will AMD later for KCSV as
the line closes in on I-65.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION......Unger

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1255 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-161800-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
1255 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY
FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE. THE LINE WILL BREAK ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER AROUND
130 PM AND MOVE SWIFTLY THROUGH THE MID-STATE, LIKELY EXITING BY
7 PM THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. A
FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AGAIN RISE INTO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S
ACROSS MUCH OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE ON THURSDAY. PROLONGED OUTDOOR
EXPOSURE COULD RESULT IN HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT STROKE IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON AND MAY BECOME
NECESSARY AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT.

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