Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 171

May 11, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2016, 6:30 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2016, 6:30 PM CDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2016, 1:44 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 108 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pike County, IL, Pope County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Clark County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Scott County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Henry County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Webster County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Perry County, MO, Pike County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson30 min
May 11, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Saline, White, Williamson27 min
May 11, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike, Ralls48 min
May 11, 6:45 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson45 min
May 11, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike40 min
May 11, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson47 min
May 11, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMeade30 min
May 11, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham, Shelby29 min
May 11, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGallatin, White27 min
May 11, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWilliamson24 min
May 11, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBreckinridge, Meade24 min
May 11, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike52 min
May 11, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve46 min
May 11, 7:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson3 hr
May 11, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHUnion42 min
May 11, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, Warren41 min
May 11, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXWashington36 min
May 11, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Jefferson, Meade32 min
May 11, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWilliamson29 min
May 11, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd, Harrison27 min
May 11, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls42 min
May 11, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGallatin, Saline37 min
May 11, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Union, Williamson39 min
May 11, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun48 min
May 11, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Francois, Washington48 min
May 11, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSainte Genevieve46 min
May 11, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Washington42 min
May 11, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd25 min
May 11, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott22 min
May 11, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Edmonson, Grayson33 min
May 11, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Hardin, Nelson46 min
May 11, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Madison45 min
May 11, 8:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Washington30 min
May 11, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark29 min
May 11, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHardin, Larue, Marion, Nelson28 min
May 11, 8:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHHardin, Johnson, Pope3 hr
May 11, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Jefferson, Scott30 min
May 11, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Marion, Mercer, Washington32 min
May 11, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHenry, Oldham, Shelby, Trimble32 min
May 11, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Jefferson, Washington45 min
May 11, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe42 min
May 11, 9:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph6 hr
May 11, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBoyle, Lincoln, Mercer25 min
May 11, 9:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois6 hr
May 11, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph61 min
May 11, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKGarrard34 min
May 11, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLincoln30 min
May 11, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPerry29 min
May 11, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Montgomery, Warren46 min
May 11, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Perry31 min
May 11, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXRandolph, Saint Clair, Washington59 min
May 11, 10:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHPerry3 hr
May 11, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Jackson, Perry, Williamson31 min
May 11, 11:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningPAHJackson3 hr
May 11, 11:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Madison, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1524 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 269 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1524 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
6.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 11:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clay, Clinton, Effingham and 11 more55 min
May 11, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 48 more12 hr
May 11, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Clark and 33 more56 min
May 11, 3:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLawrence, Wabash66 min
May 11, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin2 hr
May 11, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clay, Crawford, Daviess, Dubois and 25 more5 hr
May 10, 7:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Calloway, Christian, Clinton and 9 more93 min
May 10, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Estill, Floyd, Harlan and 18 more96 min
May 11, 2:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Logan, Monroe, Simpson, Todd95 min
May 11, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass and 9 more118 min
May 11, 3:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Cass and 12 more5 hr
May 11, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 28 more101 min
May 11, 3:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 27 more53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.