Alert archive / Kentucky / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 593

May 10, 201615 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2016, 7:42 PM CDT for 15 counties in Kentucky; 8 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2016, 7:42 PM CDT (00:42 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2016, 9:15 PM CDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Logan County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Russell County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Clay County, TN, Henry County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
6.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

647 
ACUS11 KWNS 110043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110042 
KYZ000-TNZ000-110215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0593
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/SOUTH-CENTRAL KY AND NORTHERN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 162...

VALID 110042Z - 110215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 162 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES
WILL PERSIST PARTICULARLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL KY
THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING. TORNADO WATCH 162 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z.

DISCUSSION...AS OF 0030Z/730 PM CDT...MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS SCATTERED
ACROSS SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL KY...PARTICULARLY JUST NORTH OF
HOPKINSVILLE AND ALONG THE CUMBERLAND PARKWAY BETWEEN GLASGOW AND
SOMERSET...CONTINUE TO THRIVE WITHIN THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A
BAROCLINIC GRADIENT /VIA EARLY-DAY PRECIPITATION/ WHERE TEMPERATURES
REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S F COINCIDENT WITH MIDDLE 60S F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS. THE HOPKINSVILLE WSR-88D VWP CONTINUES TO REFLECT STRONG
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /50-KT 0-6 KM/ ACCENTUATED BY UPWARDS OF 200+ M2/S2
0-1 KM SRH. SCENARIO WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
LARGE HAIL/TORNADOES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...PARTICULARLY
ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL KY AND POSSIBLY FAR NORTHERN TN.

..GUYER.. 05/11/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36288894 37138769 37268458 36548517 36288894

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Breathitt, Clay, Estill, Floyd, Harlan and 18 more96 min
May 11, 2:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Logan, Monroe, Simpson, Todd95 min
May 11, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDaviess, Henderson, McLean, Union, Webster12 hr
May 11, 5:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler, Casey and 27 more2 hr
May 11, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 53 more7 hr
May 10, 10:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Campbell, Cumberland, Davidson, DeKalb, Fentress and 16 more53 min
May 10, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Campbell, Cannon, Cheatham, Claiborne, Clay and 28 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.