Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 165

May 10, 201634 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 10, 2016, 11:45 PM EDT for 34 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2016, 11:45 PM EDT (03:45 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2016, 7:00 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Anderson County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Macon County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Roane County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 11:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner39 min
May 11, 12:11 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Sumner, Wilson34 min
May 11, 12:45 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Sumner, Wilson30 min
May 11, 12:53 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOHXDavidson, Rutherford, Sumner, Wilson112 min
May 11, 12:58 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner3 hr
May 11, 1:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXRutherford, Wilson27 min
May 11, 1:44 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXRutherford, Wilson31 min
May 11, 2:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson35 min
May 11, 4:40 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXClaiborne, Hancock35 min
May 11, 5:03 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOHXSmith, Trousdale117 min
May 11, 5:14 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOHXSumner2 hr
May 11, 6:55 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningOHXMacon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1257 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
6.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 8:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Henry, Macon, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart and 2 more93 min
May 10, 11:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Campbell, Cumberland, Davidson, DeKalb, Fentress and 16 more53 min
May 11, 3:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCannon, Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, DeKalb, Jackson and 12 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.