Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 166

May 11, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 11, 2016, 3:10 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2016, 3:10 AM CDT (08:10 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2016, 8:33 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 84 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 3:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Rice36 min
May 11, 3:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington29 min
May 11, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Marshall, Riley, Washington37 min
May 11, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, McPherson, Saline19 min
May 11, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPFranklin, Osage49 min
May 11, 3:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie33 min
May 11, 3:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Ottawa, Riley23 min
May 11, 4:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington25 min
May 11, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Dickinson, Geary, Riley31 min
May 11, 4:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPPottawatomie, Riley43 min
May 11, 4:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie32 min
May 11, 5:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPPottawatomie, Riley, Wabaunsee30 min
May 11, 5:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte32 min
May 11, 5:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJefferson8 min
May 11, 5:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMiami23 min
May 11, 6:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPBrown, Jackson, Marshall, Nemaha4 hr
May 11, 6:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLeavenworth25 min
May 11, 6:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLeavenworth, Wyandotte24 min
May 11, 7:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte15 min
May 11, 7:17 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXLeavenworth3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 670 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
670 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1711 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 5:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor101 min
May 10, 9:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJewell, Phillips, Republic, Smith92 min
May 11, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 29 more118 min
May 11, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMorton, Stanton, Stevens119 min
May 11, 11:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls, Saint Charles, Saint Louis and 2 more55 min
May 11, 12:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, Perry and 8 more12 hr
May 11, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Jefferson, Lincoln, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis56 min
May 11, 3:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Christian, Cole and 27 more53 min
May 11, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron and 14 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.