Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2003

Tornado Watch 396

May 16, 200314 counties in Arkansas; 23 counties in Missouri; Adair County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 16, 2003, 3:55 PM CDT for 14 counties in Arkansas; 23 counties in Missouri; Adair County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2003, 3:55 PM CDT (20:55 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2003, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 38 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Washington County, AR, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Polk County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 3:58 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAAdair62 min
May 16, 4:03 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFBarry42 min
May 16, 4:27 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAWashington63 min
May 16, 5:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAMadison4 hr
May 16, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence41 min
May 16, 9:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKIndependence3 hr
May 16, 9:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Stone, Van Buren119 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 189 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2003-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-176 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 162049
SEL6  
SPC WW 162055
ARZ000-MOZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 396 
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 
355 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
       SOUTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL 1000
PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI TO 40
MILES SOUTH OF HARRISON ARKANSAS.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.


OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...WW
395...


DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS IN NE OK EXPECTED TO MOVE NEWD INTO AXIS OF
INCREASING SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY OVER WRN AR.  OTHER STORMS MAY
DEVELOP INDEPENDENTLY IN THIS AXIS AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO RECOVER
IN WAKE OF CONVECTION NOW IN NE AR. LOW LEVEL VEERING PROFILES AND
HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT SUGGEST THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH DISCRETE STORMS.	ACTIVITY
SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING AS HEATING ENDS AND EXISTING STORMS
MERGE INTO CLUSTERS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22020.


...CORFIDI

373,0910 354,0913 354,0944 373,0942

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 17 more56 min
May 16, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson and 10 more5 hr
May 16, 5:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson and 10 more58 min
May 16, 6:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 36 more25 min
May 16, 6:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 27 more4 hr
May 16, 7:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 26 more63 min
May 16, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Polk, Sevier119 min
May 16, 9:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Crittenden, Mississippi96 min
May 16, 12:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 28 more3 hr
May 16, 12:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 33 more5 hr
May 16, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 44 more93 min
May 16, 2:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden and 16 more7 hr
May 16, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Little River and 11 more117 min
May 16, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Izard and 6 more116 min
May 16, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 33 more54 min
May 16, 5:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 40 more6 hr
May 16, 5:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden and 13 more91 min
May 16, 6:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 20 more2 hr
May 15, 8:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman2 hr
May 15, 10:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman6 hr
May 15, 10:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey and 8 more2 hr
May 15, 11:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron, Texas118 min
May 15, 11:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 13 more4 hr
May 15, 11:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman86 min
May 16, 1:20 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 33 more6 hr
May 16, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Custer and 16 more53 min
May 16, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 16 more57 min
May 16, 3:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 33 more53 min
May 16, 5:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Johnston, Latimer and 10 more53 min
May 16, 11:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek, Garfield, Grady and 20 more2 hr
May 16, 12:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Canadian, Cherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware and 23 more6 hr
May 16, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Creek, Lincoln, Logan, McIntosh, Mayes and 12 more89 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2003Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2003Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2003Every tornado watch in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.