Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2003

Tornado Watch 395

May 16, 20034 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 16, 2003, 2:50 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2003, 2:50 PM CDT (19:50 UTC)
Expired
May 16, 2003, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 64 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Greene County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 3:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJackson43 min
May 16, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff57 min
May 16, 5:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff52 min
May 16, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Poinsett57 min
May 16, 6:23 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPoinsett52 min
May 16, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff47 min
May 16, 6:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett115 min
May 16, 6:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff3 hr
May 16, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMississippi62 min
May 16, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden28 min
May 16, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff42 min
May 16, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGTipton61 min
May 16, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLauderdale66 min
May 16, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGShelby40 min
May 16, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson31 min
May 16, 8:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden115 min
May 16, 8:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPrairie, White47 min
May 16, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGMississippi2 hr
May 16, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHaywood52 min
May 16, 8:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett118 min
May 16, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden33 min
May 16, 8:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKJackson3 hr
May 16, 9:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGShelby, Tipton2 hr
May 16, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson, Lonoke, Woodruff31 min
May 16, 9:18 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrockett, Haywood117 min
May 16, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPrairie35 min
May 16, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis48 min
May 16, 9:47 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGLee, St. Francis28 min
May 16, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHaywood36 min
May 16, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe60 min
May 16, 10:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, St. Francis2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1736 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2003-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1736 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-60 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
734 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 161948
SEL5  
SPC WW 161950
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 395 
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 
250 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN ARKANSAS
       THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
       WEST TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL 1000
PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 40
MILES SOUTHEAST OF GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.


OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 392...WW 393...WW 394...


DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/INTENSIFY
ALONG 850 MB CONFLUENCE ZONE OVER WRN/CNTRL AR.  THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD THEN MOVE NEWD INTO ZONE OF INCREASING LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE INFLOW ACROSS NE AR/W TN AND THE MS DELTA
REGION...WHERE DEEP SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...CORFIDI

362,0883 330,0890 330,0915 362,0912

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 4:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Crawford, Franklin and 17 more56 min
May 16, 4:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson and 10 more5 hr
May 16, 5:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard, Johnson and 10 more58 min
May 16, 6:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 36 more25 min
May 16, 6:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 27 more4 hr
May 16, 7:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 26 more63 min
May 16, 9:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Polk, Sevier119 min
May 16, 9:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Crittenden, Mississippi96 min
May 16, 12:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway and 28 more3 hr
May 16, 12:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 33 more5 hr
May 16, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Clark, Clay, Cleburne and 44 more93 min
May 16, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard, Little River and 11 more117 min
May 16, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Izard and 6 more116 min
May 16, 3:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Fulton, Independence and 8 more6 hr
May 16, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 33 more54 min
May 16, 5:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 40 more6 hr
May 16, 5:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden and 13 more91 min
May 16, 6:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clay, Cleburne and 20 more2 hr
May 15, 7:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBledsoe, Blount, Cumberland, Loudon, McMinn, Meigs and 4 more87 min
May 16, 1:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Coffee, Franklin, Giles, Lawrence, Lincoln and 2 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2003Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2003Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2003Every tornado watch in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.