Alert archive / Arkansas / Sebastian County
Weather alerts in Sebastian County, Arkansas, 2016
81 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Sebastian County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 81
- Warnings
- 18
- Watches
- 10
- Advisories
- 5
- Busiest month
- May23 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 12, 20168 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 1 tornado warnings covering Sebastian County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them.
Sebastian County, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 16 | 10 | 38% | 8 | 88% | 31 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Tulsa, OK: tornado warnings | 38 | 17 | 55% | 44 | 70% | 13 min |
| NWS Tulsa, OK: severe thunderstorm warnings | 251 | 108 | 57% | 274 | 82% | 24 min |
| NWS Tulsa, OK: flash flood warnings | 24 | 5 | 79% | 12 | 83% | 85 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 12:42 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | TSA | 24 hr |
| Jan 15, 1:27 PM CST | River Flood Watch | TSA | 19 hr |
| Feb 29, 11:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 57 min |
| Mar 1, 1:08 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 52 min |
| Mar 1, 1:35 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 40 min |
| Mar 1, 1:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Mar 13, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:04 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 26 min |
| Mar 13, 5:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Mar 13, 6:03 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | 117 min |
| Mar 23, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 23, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Mar 23, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 35 min |
| Mar 23, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 63 min |
| Mar 23, 11:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Mar 30, 10:49 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 41 min |
| Mar 30, 11:57 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Mar 30, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 29 min |
| Apr 11, 12:57 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:01 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 29 min |
| Apr 26, 9:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Apr 26, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Apr 27, 12:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 59 min |
| Apr 27, 1:08 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 1:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 44 min |
| Apr 29, 4:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 29, 3:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 44 min |
| Apr 29, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 34 min |
| May 9, 1:06 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 39 min |
| May 9, 1:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| May 9, 2:36 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 9, 4:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 35 min |
| May 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| May 9, 7:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 41 min |
| May 9, 8:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 9, 8:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 32 min |
| May 11, 8:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 11, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 11, 11:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| May 12, 12:15 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 30 min |
| May 12, 3:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 29 min |
| May 12, 3:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 14 min |
| May 12, 3:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 64 min |
| May 12, 4:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 40 min |
| May 24, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 24, 5:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 24, 8:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| May 25, 1:13 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 25, 4:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 41 min |
| May 26, 3:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 36 min |
| May 29, 8:22 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 38 min |
| Jun 12, 11:08 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 37 min |
| Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 8:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | 3 hr |
| Jul 8, 9:23 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 9, 8:48 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | 3 hr |
| Jul 10, 4:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 11:21 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jul 14, 11:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 60 min |
| Jul 14, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Jul 14, 2:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 59 min |
| Jul 14, 2:55 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | 3 hr |
| Jul 14, 3:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 48 min |
| Jul 19, 3:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TSA | 3 hr |
| Jul 19, 5:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 29 min |
| Jul 20, 6:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 15 min |
| Jul 28, 7:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 29 min |
| Jul 29, 12:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 3:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Aug 7, 2:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 7, 3:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 27 min |
| Aug 7, 4:00 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 30 min |
| Aug 12, 2:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 33 min |
| Aug 12, 3:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 36 min |
| Aug 29, 2:49 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 26 min |
| Aug 29, 4:31 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 29 min |
| Aug 29, 4:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 35 min |
| Aug 30, 2:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TSA | 31 min |
| Sep 16, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | 49 min |
| Oct 12, 2:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 16 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 7 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 23 |
| Special Weather Statement | 25 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| River Flood Watch | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 5 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.