Alert archive / Arkansas

Weather alerts in Sebastian County, Arkansas

3,883 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Sebastian County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,883
Warnings
1,360
Watches
557
Advisories
274
Busiest year
2025225 alerts
Average year
95over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 73% of tornado reports in Sebastian County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 15 minutes before, and 62% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200840100%0
200910100%0
201010100%0
201111464%0
2012110%1100%0 min
20134175%0
2014110%0
201520100%0
2016110%0
20172150%0
20184250%250%1 min
20195260%475%10 min
20206183%0
20214325%1100%19 min
20227529%2100%36 min
202320100%10%
20246183%0
20254250%0
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008251540%2580%24 min
2009482548%2190%36 min
20109544%580%20 min
2011482940%2572%24 min
2012241729%1995%24 min
2013181139%2100%30 min
2014241729%2277%23 min
2015221532%1688%29 min
2016161038%888%31 min
2017372338%2492%22 min
2018281450%1457%21 min
2019351557%2080%26 min
2020442348%2282%24 min
202113746%683%27 min
2022411661%2070%26 min
2023312229%3868%17 min
2024271256%1283%29 min
2025411466%1883%20 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200814843%667%116 min
2009330%450%210 min
20104250%0
20119633%4100%32 min
20124250%0
20132150%3100%113 min
2015181422%1995%187 min
20173167%0
2018110%2100%139 min
201915660%786%85 min
20207357%3100%89 min
20217271%250%37 min
20227443%1164%66 min
20233233%3100%109 min
20248275%475%20 min
202512375%367%26 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 8, 11:56 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA31 hr
Sep 7, 11:46 PM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA20 hr
Sep 7, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA27 min
Sep 7, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA27 min
Sep 5, 11:07 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA32 hr
Sep 5, 11:02 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA8 hr
Aug 17, 11:29 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA58 hr
Aug 17, 11:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA44 min
Aug 17, 10:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatTSA43 min
Aug 15, 11:26 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA33 hr
Aug 15, 11:26 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA9 hr
Jul 30, 1:18 PM CDTExtreme Heat WarningTSA32 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.