Alert archive / Virginia / Caroline County
Weather alerts in Caroline County, Virginia, 2014
121 weather alerts in 2014, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Caroline County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2014. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 121
- Warnings
- 19
- Watches
- 20
- Advisories
- 18
- Busiest month
- May23 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 22, 20147 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Caroline County, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 9 | 6 | 33% | 5 | 80% | 26 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2014
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 33 | 8 | 76% | 15 | 67% | 13 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 130 | 86 | 34% | 302 | 75% | 20 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 5 | 4 | 20% | 15 | 67% | 37 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 3:04 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 32 hr |
| Jan 9, 3:34 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Jan 11, 1:56 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| Jan 14, 9:19 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Jan 20, 3:52 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Jan 20, 2:06 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 38 hr |
| Jan 21, 4:02 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 26 hr |
| Jan 21, 3:28 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 21 hr |
| Jan 24, 3:49 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Jan 27, 4:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 38 hr |
| Feb 10, 4:10 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Feb 11, 3:52 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 58 hr |
| Feb 12, 1:42 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 12, 6:41 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 13, 1:43 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 19, 7:29 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 61 min |
| Feb 21, 10:39 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 21, 11:41 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| Feb 25, 3:50 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 20 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:49 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 13 hr |
| Mar 2, 3:54 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 42 hr |
| Mar 3, 6:05 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 6, 3:04 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 21 hr |
| Mar 12, 2:33 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 14 hr |
| Mar 12, 4:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Mar 12, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:38 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 14 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:49 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Mar 15, 3:49 PM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Mar 16, 3:22 AM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Mar 16, 3:22 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 56 hr |
| Mar 16, 4:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 5:55 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Apr 15, 4:39 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 28 hr |
| Apr 15, 4:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 33 min |
| Apr 16, 2:30 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Apr 22, 3:11 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | AKQ | 13 hr |
| Apr 23, 3:58 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | AKQ | 15 hr |
| Apr 25, 2:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 25, 5:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 29 min |
| Apr 28, 3:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | AKQ | 56 hr |
| Apr 30, 1:15 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 48 min |
| Apr 30, 3:29 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| May 2, 9:43 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 20 hr |
| May 2, 12:44 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 5 hr |
| May 3, 5:38 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 6 hr |
| May 13, 5:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 61 min |
| May 13, 7:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| May 13, 10:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| May 15, 11:56 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 15, 3:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| May 15, 6:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| May 16, 4:25 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 65 min |
| May 21, 2:10 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 22, 1:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| May 22, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 22, 3:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| May 22, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 45 min |
| May 22, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 41 min |
| May 22, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 34 min |
| May 22, 6:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| May 27, 8:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 65 min |
| May 28, 2:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| May 28, 4:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| May 28, 5:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| May 28, 6:10 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 80 min |
| Jun 9, 3:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 10, 5:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 56 min |
| Jun 11, 4:00 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 60 min |
| Jun 11, 4:55 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 65 min |
| Jun 11, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 11, 4:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 26 min |
| Jun 12, 5:50 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 55 min |
| Jun 13, 5:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 57 min |
| Jun 19, 2:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 4:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 38 min |
| Jun 19, 4:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 51 min |
| Jun 19, 4:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 34 min |
| Jul 2, 12:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jul 2, 12:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jul 3, 3:28 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Jul 3, 5:01 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 14 min |
| Jul 3, 5:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jul 8, 4:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jul 8, 8:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 57 min |
| Jul 9, 3:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 14, 1:06 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Jul 14, 5:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jul 14, 6:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Jul 15, 1:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 15, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 15, 2:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 54 min |
| Jul 15, 2:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 64 min |
| Jul 15, 4:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 15, 7:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jul 23, 10:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 39 min |
| Jul 27, 11:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 4:33 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
| Aug 12, 12:27 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Aug 12, 5:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Aug 18, 7:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 55 min |
| Aug 20, 6:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 63 min |
| Aug 31, 9:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 29 min |
| Sep 4, 2:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 26 min |
| Oct 7, 7:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 24 min |
| Oct 7, 9:17 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Oct 7, 9:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 24 min |
| Oct 15, 5:14 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Oct 15, 10:16 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 59 min |
| Oct 15, 11:02 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 28 min |
| Nov 2, 3:00 AM EST | Freeze Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Nov 2, 3:00 AM EST | Freeze Warning | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Nov 6, 1:33 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Nov 6, 4:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Nov 6, 5:12 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 63 min |
| Nov 6, 6:07 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 53 min |
| Nov 12, 3:22 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 5:28 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 4 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20132015
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.