Alert archive / Missouri / Shelby County
Weather alerts in Shelby County, Missouri, 2016
70 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Shelby County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 70
- Warnings
- 15
- Watches
- 11
- Advisories
- 18
- Busiest month
- July15 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 7, 20165 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 1 tornado warnings covering Shelby County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them; 2 of 2 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 2 minutes after it went out.
Shelby County, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2 | 100% | 2 min |
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 5 | 4 | 20% | 4 | 100% | 8 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 3 | 1 | 67% | 4 | 75% | 156 min |
Each office's whole area, 2016
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS St. Louis, MO: tornado warnings | 11 | 4 | 64% | 15 | 40% | 5 min |
| NWS St. Louis, MO: severe thunderstorm warnings | 172 | 111 | 35% | 643 | 86% | 27 min |
| NWS St. Louis, MO: flash flood warnings | 52 | 21 | 60% | 50 | 80% | 131 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 11:33 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | LSX | 11 hr |
| Jan 17, 4:15 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | LSX | 30 hr |
| Jan 18, 3:40 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LSX | 36 hr |
| Feb 13, 4:11 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LSX | 38 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:31 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX | 8 hr |
| Feb 16, 3:45 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LSX | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:10 AM CST | Wind Advisory | LSX | 14 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:25 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX | 7 hr |
| Mar 14, 1:02 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX | 9 hr |
| Mar 15, 2:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 66 min |
| Mar 15, 3:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 16, 3:55 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | LSX | 16 hr |
| Mar 27, 3:50 PM CDT | Freeze Warning | LSX | 17 hr |
| Apr 2, 8:57 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | LSX | 22 hr |
| Apr 7, 3:29 AM CDT | Freeze Watch | LSX | 24 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:26 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | LSX | 30 hr |
| Apr 11, 3:22 AM CDT | Freeze Warning | LSX | 29 hr |
| Apr 27, 2:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 27, 5:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Apr 27, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | 46 min |
| Apr 27, 8:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 27, 8:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | 37 min |
| May 13, 12:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| May 13, 1:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 13, 5:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 27, 5:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| May 29, 8:30 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | 45 min |
| Jun 20, 3:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jun 20, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 20, 6:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 9:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 56 min |
| Jun 21, 3:06 PM CDT | Heat Advisory | LSX | 30 hr |
| Jun 21, 10:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 26, 1:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Jun 27, 2:55 AM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX | 6 hr |
| Jun 30, 1:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 3:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LSX | 4 days |
| Jun 30, 6:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 6, 11:29 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | 46 min |
| Jul 6, 12:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | 3 hr |
| Jul 7, 5:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 7, 6:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 7, 6:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | 66 min |
| Jul 7, 6:54 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LSX | 51 min |
| Jul 7, 7:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | 54 min |
| Jul 13, 10:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Jul 13, 11:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 18, 3:54 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | LSX | 48 hr |
| Jul 18, 4:04 PM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | LSX | 6 days |
| Jul 19, 12:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 5:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 58 min |
| Jul 24, 6:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jul 31, 11:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Aug 1, 2:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LSX | 21 hr |
| Aug 2, 4:02 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | 5 hr |
| Aug 2, 8:58 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | 3 hr |
| Aug 2, 11:31 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LSX | 6 hr |
| Aug 5, 5:30 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | 3 hr |
| Aug 24, 3:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LSX | 24 hr |
| Aug 24, 9:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 37 min |
| Oct 20, 2:59 PM CDT | Frost Advisory | LSX | 17 hr |
| Nov 2, 3:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Nov 28, 4:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Dec 5, 3:59 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX | 8 hr |
| Dec 16, 9:24 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LSX | 39 hr |
| Dec 16, 3:42 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | LSX | 44 hr |
| Dec 25, 8:59 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LSX | 91 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 5 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 5 |
| Tornado Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 22 |
| Special Weather Statement | 4 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 3 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 3 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 1 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 4 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 2 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 3 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 1 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 3 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 2 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 5 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.