Alert archive / Missouri / Shelby County

Weather alerts in Shelby County, Missouri, 2016

70 weather alerts in 2016, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Shelby County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
70
Warnings
15
Watches
11
Advisories
18
Busiest month
July15 alerts
Busiest day
July 7, 20165 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

1 of 1 tornado warnings covering Shelby County in 2016 had a tornado report inside them; 2 of 2 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 2 minutes after it went out.

Shelby County, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings110%2100%2 min
Severe thunderstorm warnings5420%4100%8 min
Flash flood warnings3167%475%156 min

Each office's whole area, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS St. Louis, MO: tornado warnings11464%1540%5 min
NWS St. Louis, MO: severe thunderstorm warnings17211135%64386%27 min
NWS St. Louis, MO: flash flood warnings522160%5080%131 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 9, 11:33 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX11 hr
Jan 17, 4:15 AM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX30 hr
Jan 18, 3:40 PM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX36 hr
Feb 13, 4:11 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX38 hr
Feb 15, 3:31 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX8 hr
Feb 16, 3:45 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX6 hr
Feb 28, 4:10 AM CSTWind AdvisoryLSX14 hr
Mar 13, 3:25 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX7 hr
Mar 14, 1:02 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX9 hr
Mar 15, 2:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC66 min
Mar 15, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Mar 16, 3:55 AM CDTRed Flag WarningLSX16 hr
Mar 27, 3:50 PM CDTFreeze WarningLSX17 hr
Apr 2, 8:57 PM CDTWind AdvisoryLSX22 hr
Apr 7, 3:29 AM CDTFreeze WatchLSX24 hr
Apr 8, 3:26 AM CDTFreeze WarningLSX30 hr
Apr 11, 3:22 AM CDTFreeze WarningLSX29 hr
Apr 27, 2:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 27, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Apr 27, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX32 min
Apr 27, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX44 min
Apr 27, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX46 min
Apr 27, 8:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Apr 27, 8:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLSX37 min
May 13, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
May 13, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
May 13, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
May 27, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
May 29, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSX45 min
Jun 20, 3:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC83 min
Jun 20, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jun 20, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC63 min
Jun 20, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC56 min
Jun 21, 3:06 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX30 hr
Jun 21, 10:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 26, 1:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Jun 27, 2:55 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX6 hr
Jun 30, 1:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 30, 3:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX4 days
Jun 30, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jul 6, 11:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSX46 min
Jul 6, 12:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX3 hr
Jul 7, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 7, 6:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 7, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX66 min
Jul 7, 6:54 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLSX51 min
Jul 7, 7:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX54 min
Jul 13, 10:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jul 13, 11:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jul 18, 3:54 AM CDTHeat AdvisoryLSX48 hr
Jul 18, 4:04 PM CDTExcessive Heat WarningLSX6 days
Jul 19, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 19, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 19, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC58 min
Jul 24, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 31, 11:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Aug 1, 2:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX21 hr
Aug 2, 4:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX5 hr
Aug 2, 8:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSX3 hr
Aug 2, 11:31 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSX6 hr
Aug 5, 5:30 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSX3 hr
Aug 24, 3:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSX24 hr
Aug 24, 9:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC37 min
Oct 20, 2:59 PM CDTFrost AdvisoryLSX17 hr
Nov 2, 3:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Nov 28, 4:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Dec 5, 3:59 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryLSX8 hr
Dec 16, 9:24 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryLSX39 hr
Dec 16, 3:42 PM CSTWind Chill AdvisoryLSX44 hr
Dec 25, 8:59 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLSX91 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.