Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346

July 7, 201621 counties in Illinois; 55 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2016, 6:01 AM CDT for 21 counties in Illinois; 55 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2016, 6:01 AM CDT (11:01 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2016, 12:08 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 76 counties

Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Warren County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 6:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Morgan, St. Clair54 min
Jul 7, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Monroe and 1 more66 min
Jul 7, 6:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Hickory, Miller64 min
Jul 7, 7:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Hickory, Polk, Vernon60 min
Jul 7, 7:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Lincoln, Montgomery and 4 more54 min
Jul 7, 7:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski66 min
Jul 7, 7:11 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby54 min
Jul 7, 7:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Cole, Marion, Monroe27 min
Jul 7, 7:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike58 min
Jul 7, 7:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike61 min
Jul 7, 8:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown, Pike34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4161 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
937 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
8.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Calhoun, Franklin, Greene, Jackson and 10 more2 hr
Jul 7, 8:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 32 more95 min
Jul 7, 12:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Gallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Lawrence, Massac and 5 more59 min
Jul 7, 12:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCEdwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac and 5 more4 hr
Jul 7, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 20 more83 min
Jul 7, 1:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Andrew, Atchison, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell and 31 more6 hr
Jul 7, 4:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 27 more93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.