Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345

July 7, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 7, 2016, 1:37 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2016, 1:37 AM CDT (06:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2016, 7:23 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 89 counties

Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Republic County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Cass County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

26 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 1:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCass, Lancaster, Sarpy, Saunders37 min
Jul 7, 2:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Pottawattamie43 min
Jul 7, 2:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont40 min
Jul 7, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe50 min
Jul 7, 2:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt54 min
Jul 7, 2:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson53 min
Jul 7, 3:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page62 min
Jul 7, 3:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPBrown24 min
Jul 7, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan49 min
Jul 7, 3:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Holt, Nodaway31 min
Jul 7, 3:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXRinggold, Taylor42 min
Jul 7, 3:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt18 min
Jul 7, 3:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPJackson, Pottawatomie, Shawnee39 min
Jul 7, 3:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, DeKalb, Gentry, Nodaway, Worth50 min
Jul 7, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union46 min
Jul 7, 4:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Grundy, Harrison, Livingston, Mercer64 min
Jul 7, 4:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson, Osage, Shawnee, Wabaunsee45 min
Jul 7, 4:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte42 min
Jul 7, 4:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 2 more52 min
Jul 7, 4:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin, Osage61 min
Jul 7, 5:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Miami45 min
Jul 7, 5:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Johnson, Lafayette, Linn, Livingston and 2 more54 min
Jul 7, 5:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Miami46 min
Jul 7, 5:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Wapello45 min
Jul 7, 5:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Cooper, Howard, Johnson, Linn, Macon and 3 more68 min
Jul 7, 6:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon, Randolph16 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2437 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2016-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2437 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-140 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1750 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Harrison, Ida and 7 more6 hr
Jul 7, 12:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 51 more90 min
Jul 7, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Butler and 37 more4 hr
Jul 7, 1:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Fremont, Page, Ringgold, Taylor, Wayne83 min
Jul 7, 3:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Chickasaw, Fayette and 8 more83 min
Jul 7, 4:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas and 6 more93 min
Jul 7, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 2 more2 hr
Jul 7, 6:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren6 hr
Jul 7, 8:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDes Moines, Lee95 min
Jul 7, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 41 more115 min
Jul 7, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 37 more5 hr
Jul 7, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer and 39 more2 hr
Jul 6, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNorton2 hr
Jul 6, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith5 hr
Jul 7, 2:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJewell, Mitchell, Norton, Phillips, Republic, Smith89 min
Jul 7, 2:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Norton, Rawlins2 hr
Jul 7, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Norton, Phillips, Rawlins and 1 more3 hr
Jul 7, 12:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, New Madrid59 min
Jul 7, 12:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMississippi4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.