Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 116
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 27, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT (19:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 27, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 64 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Pike County, IL, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 2:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Fremont | 45 min |
| Apr 27, 2:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills | 49 min |
| Apr 27, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 2:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 31 min |
| Apr 27, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison | 15 min |
| Apr 27, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan | 43 min |
| Apr 27, 3:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Holt | 29 min |
| Apr 27, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Buchanan, Platte | 41 min |
| Apr 27, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 3:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Page | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Clay, Clinton | 40 min |
| Apr 27, 3:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Doniphan | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 3:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Nodaway, Worth | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 3:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills, Pottawattamie | 27 min |
| Apr 27, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page | 41 min |
| Apr 27, 3:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb | 39 min |
| Apr 27, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 36 min |
| Apr 27, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Taylor | 48 min |
| Apr 27, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Clay, Clinton, Platte | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Cass | 46 min |
| Apr 27, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte | 36 min |
| Apr 27, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Gentry | 35 min |
| Apr 27, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb | 46 min |
| Apr 27, 4:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Clinton, DeKalb, Gentry | 39 min |
| Apr 27, 4:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Taylor | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 4:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb, Ray | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 4:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Daviess | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Howard, Randolph | 26 min |
| Apr 27, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Worth | 52 min |
| Apr 27, 5:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EAX | Daviess | 33 min |
| Apr 27, 5:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union | 34 min |
| Apr 27, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Caldwell, Carroll, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Lafayette and 2 more | 46 min |
| Apr 27, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Clarke, Madison, Ringgold, Union | 48 min |
| Apr 27, 5:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Madison, Union | 27 min |
| Apr 27, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Harrison, Linn, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan | 38 min |
| Apr 27, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Lafayette, Linn, Livingston, Saline | 52 min |
| Apr 27, 5:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Lafayette, Saline | 48 min |
| Apr 27, 6:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Page | 5 hr |
| Apr 27, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Linn, Macon | 24 min |
| Apr 27, 6:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton, Saline | 47 min |
| Apr 27, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Sullivan | 52 min |
| Apr 27, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Shelby | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon, Putnam, Schuyler | 54 min |
| Apr 27, 7:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lewis, Marion | 36 min |
| Apr 27, 7:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Knox | 21 min |
| Apr 27, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Macon | 32 min |
| Apr 27, 7:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Shelby | 44 min |
| Apr 27, 7:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion, Shelby | 46 min |
| Apr 27, 8:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lewis, Marion, Shelby | 37 min |
| Apr 27, 8:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lewis | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 8:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 42 min |
| Apr 27, 9:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Adams | 30 min |
| Apr 27, 9:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Jersey | 38 min |
| Apr 27, 9:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -145 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 960 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 215 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 227 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
560 WWUS20 KWNS 271931 SEL6 SPC WW 271931 IAZ000-ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-280200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 116 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 230 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS NORTHERN MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH NEAR SLOWLY MOVING WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI/SOUTHWEST IOWA...WHERE LOW-LEVEL VEERING WIND PROFILES AND SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE HEATING COULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES AND TORNADOES....IN ADDITION TO SEVERE HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 115... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 5:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Hancock and 6 more | 116 min |
| Apr 27, 1:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Davis and 13 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 26, 8:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 42 more | 28 min |
| Apr 26, 8:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 17 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 26, 9:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McDonald | 114 min |
| Apr 27, 12:40 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more | 95 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2016Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2016Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.