Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 116

April 27, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2016, 2:33 PM CDT (19:33 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 64 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Pike County, IL, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Warren County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

55 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 2:36 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery, Page24 min
Apr 27, 2:45 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont45 min
Apr 27, 2:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills49 min
Apr 27, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan33 min
Apr 27, 2:59 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery, Page31 min
Apr 27, 3:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison15 min
Apr 27, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan43 min
Apr 27, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHolt29 min
Apr 27, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Platte41 min
Apr 27, 3:23 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXMontgomery37 min
Apr 27, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page32 min
Apr 27, 3:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Clay, Clinton40 min
Apr 27, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDoniphan37 min
Apr 27, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway, Worth30 min
Apr 27, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Pottawattamie27 min
Apr 27, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills, Montgomery, Page41 min
Apr 27, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb39 min
Apr 27, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie36 min
Apr 27, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTaylor48 min
Apr 27, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClay, Clinton, Platte47 min
Apr 27, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass46 min
Apr 27, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte36 min
Apr 27, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Gentry35 min
Apr 27, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb46 min
Apr 27, 4:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Clinton, DeKalb, Gentry39 min
Apr 27, 4:38 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXTaylor37 min
Apr 27, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb, Ray37 min
Apr 27, 4:51 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXDaviess24 min
Apr 27, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Howard, Randolph26 min
Apr 27, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison, Worth52 min
Apr 27, 5:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedEAXDaviess33 min
Apr 27, 5:14 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union34 min
Apr 27, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Lafayette and 2 more46 min
Apr 27, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Clarke, Madison, Ringgold, Union48 min
Apr 27, 5:45 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXAdair, Madison, Union27 min
Apr 27, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Harrison, Linn, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan38 min
Apr 27, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Lafayette, Linn, Livingston, Saline52 min
Apr 27, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLafayette, Saline48 min
Apr 27, 6:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXMontgomery, Page5 hr
Apr 27, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Linn, Macon24 min
Apr 27, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Saline47 min
Apr 27, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Putnam, Sullivan52 min
Apr 27, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Shelby32 min
Apr 27, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon, Putnam, Schuyler54 min
Apr 27, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLewis, Marion36 min
Apr 27, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXKnox21 min
Apr 27, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMacon32 min
Apr 27, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Shelby44 min
Apr 27, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Shelby46 min
Apr 27, 8:23 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Shelby37 min
Apr 27, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis30 min
Apr 27, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams42 min
Apr 27, 9:15 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXAdams30 min
Apr 27, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey38 min
Apr 27, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Brown35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2016-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 7 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2016-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 215 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
960 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

560 
WWUS20 KWNS 271931
SEL6  
SPC WW 271931
IAZ000-ILZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-280200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 116
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA
  WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
  FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
  NORTHERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM
  UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
STRENGTH NEAR SLOWLY MOVING WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN
MISSOURI/SOUTHWEST IOWA...WHERE LOW-LEVEL VEERING WIND PROFILES AND
SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE HEATING COULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES AND TORNADOES....IN ADDITION TO SEVERE HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
IOWA TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 115...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Hancock and 6 more116 min
Apr 27, 1:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Davis and 13 more2 hr
Apr 26, 8:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 42 more28 min
Apr 26, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee and 17 more7 hr
Apr 26, 9:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcDonald114 min
Apr 27, 12:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade and 26 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2016Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2016Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.