Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 1812

November 2, 201618 counties in Illinois; 9 counties in Kansas; 18 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 2, 2016, 3:32 PM CDT for 18 counties in Illinois; 9 counties in Kansas; 18 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2016, 3:32 PM CDT (20:32 UTC)
Expired
Nov 2, 2016, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 45 counties

Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Cass County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Anderson County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Miami County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shelby County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 177 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 282 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2016-11-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1127 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2016-11-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1127 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
816 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 1, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenderson, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren, Whiteside2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.