Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 216

March 15, 201643 counties in Illinois; 11 counties in Iowa; 9 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 15, 2016, 2:24 PM CDT for 43 counties in Illinois; 11 counties in Iowa; 9 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 15, 2016, 2:24 PM CDT (19:24 UTC)
Expired
Mar 15, 2016, 3:30 PM CDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 63 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Clark County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Marion County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2016-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2016-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-270 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
736 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 15, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 40 more7 hr
Mar 15, 5:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Cumberland, Edwards and 21 more88 min
Mar 15, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Cass, Fulton, Henry, Knox, Logan and 11 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.