Alert archive / Missouri / Butler County
Weather alerts in Butler County, Missouri, 2015
122 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Butler County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 122
- Warnings
- 17
- Watches
- 26
- Advisories
- 38
- Busiest month
- July23 alerts
- Busiest day
- July 9, 20156 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Butler County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 6 | 4 | 33% | 3 | 33% | 0 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 2 | 1 | 50% | 1 | 100% | 44 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Paducah, KY: tornado warnings | 30 | 7 | 77% | 27 | 37% | 7 min |
| NWS Paducah, KY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 172 | 79 | 54% | 194 | 70% | 18 min |
| NWS Paducah, KY: flash flood warnings | 54 | 20 | 63% | 47 | 60% | 63 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 5:11 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 4 hr |
| Jan 3, 5:30 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 4 hr |
| Jan 6, 2:48 PM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | PAH | 41 hr |
| Jan 10, 1:40 PM CST | Freezing Rain Advisory | PAH | 28 hr |
| Jan 11, 10:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:49 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | PAH | 13 hr |
| Feb 15, 3:34 AM CST | Winter Storm Warning | PAH | 36 hr |
| Feb 16, 2:57 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 17, 11:23 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | PAH | 19 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:12 AM CST | Wind Chill Advisory | PAH | 32 hr |
| Feb 19, 2:59 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | PAH | 14 hr |
| Feb 20, 4:57 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | PAH | 10 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:00 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:24 PM CST | Winter Storm Warning | PAH | 24 hr |
| Feb 20, 3:56 PM CST | Flood Watch | PAH | 23 hr |
| Feb 21, 2:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Feb 21, 4:48 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 6 hr |
| Feb 21, 10:42 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:10 AM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | PAH | 32 hr |
| Mar 1, 2:42 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Mar 2, 3:22 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | PAH | 23 hr |
| Mar 3, 2:51 PM CST | Winter Storm Warning | PAH | 39 hr |
| Mar 4, 4:39 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 3 hr |
| Mar 4, 6:40 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Mar 4, 7:33 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 6 hr |
| Mar 4, 1:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 11, 3:09 PM CDT | Flood Watch | PAH | 60 hr |
| Mar 13, 10:56 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | PAH | 61 hr |
| Mar 13, 12:23 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | PAH | 18 hr |
| Mar 25, 6:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Mar 25, 7:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Mar 25, 8:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 51 min |
| Mar 25, 9:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Mar 31, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 48 min |
| Apr 2, 3:05 AM CDT | Flood Watch | PAH | 37 hr |
| Apr 2, 11:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 2, 1:33 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 3 hr |
| Apr 2, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 1:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 59 min |
| Apr 3, 1:35 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 3, 5:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 21 min |
| Apr 4, 2:57 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | PAH | 29 hr |
| Apr 9, 3:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 64 min |
| Apr 9, 6:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 25 min |
| May 10, 1:22 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 10, 3:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 68 min |
| May 17, 3:40 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | PAH | 15 hr |
| May 24, 9:44 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | PAH | 9 hr |
| May 24, 4:14 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| May 24, 6:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| May 24, 7:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 91 min |
| May 24, 7:18 PM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | PAH | 5 hr |
| May 24, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 33 min |
| May 25, 8:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| May 25, 10:03 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| May 25, 11:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| May 26, 10:26 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | PAH | 9 hr |
| Jun 5, 3:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 87 min |
| Jun 8, 12:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jun 12, 7:36 AM CDT | Lake Wind Advisory | PAH | 11 hr |
| Jun 18, 4:16 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 47 hr |
| Jun 24, 3:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 47 min |
| Jun 26, 11:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jun 26, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 1, 12:35 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 30 hr |
| Jul 3, 8:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 34 min |
| Jul 7, 11:23 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 38 hr |
| Jul 8, 6:05 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 8, 6:34 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 56 min |
| Jul 8, 7:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 65 min |
| Jul 8, 8:26 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 64 min |
| Jul 8, 9:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jul 9, 3:05 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 34 hr |
| Jul 9, 3:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 6:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 13, 4:48 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 13 hr |
| Jul 14, 4:40 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 14 hr |
| Jul 14, 12:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 14, 2:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jul 17, 10:46 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 55 hr |
| Jul 20, 3:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Jul 20, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jul 20, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jul 20, 8:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jul 25, 4:16 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 15 hr |
| Jul 27, 3:08 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 64 hr |
| Jul 27, 1:56 PM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | PAH | 53 hr |
| Aug 4, 3:22 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 37 hr |
| Aug 9, 3:22 AM CDT | Heat Advisory | PAH | 17 hr |
| Aug 18, 6:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 115 min |
| Sep 9, 7:33 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 3 hr |
| Oct 16, 3:48 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | PAH | 28 hr |
| Oct 17, 3:35 AM CDT | Frost Advisory | PAH | 28 hr |
| Nov 1, 11:19 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 10 hr |
| Nov 2, 8:37 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 14 hr |
| Nov 3, 7:26 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 11 hr |
| Nov 16, 2:52 AM CST | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 51 hr |
| Nov 17, 3:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Nov 17, 4:26 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | PAH | 6 hr |
| Nov 17, 6:02 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 58 min |
| Nov 17, 7:04 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 56 min |
| Nov 17, 7:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | 3 hr |
| Nov 18, 6:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | PAH | 43 hr |
| Nov 25, 2:50 PM CST | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 3 days |
| Nov 29, 1:07 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | PAH | 3 hr |
| Dec 4, 1:59 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 7 hr |
| Dec 8, 3:03 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 4 hr |
| Dec 11, 7:00 AM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 4 hr |
| Dec 13, 1:15 PM CST | Wind Advisory | PAH | 13 hr |
| Dec 22, 7:07 PM CST | Dense Fog Advisory | PAH | 5 hr |
| Dec 23, 6:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Dec 23, 9:13 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | 54 min |
| Dec 23, 10:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 91 min |
| Dec 25, 3:39 AM CST | Flash Flood Watch | PAH | 4 days |
| Dec 25, 10:33 AM CST | River Flood Warning | PAH | 6 days |
| Dec 26, 4:49 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | PAH | 41 min |
| Dec 28, 4:47 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | 6 hr |
| Dec 28, 11:21 AM CST | Wind Advisory | PAH | 7 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.