Alert archive / Kentucky / Winter Storm Warnings in 2015

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Paducah, KY

February 20, 20154 states

NWS Paducah, KY issued this winter storm warning at Feb 20, 2015, 3:24 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 24 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2015, 3:24 PM CST (21:24 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2015, 3:00 PM CST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
All 58 counties

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 20, 3:24 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0East Prairie, MOFREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAKING ROADS THROUGHOUT THE COMMUNITY VERY SLICK.
Feb 20, 3:38 PM CSTSLEET 0Greenville, MOTHUNDER AND HEAVY SLEET REPORTED.
Feb 20, 3:47 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0West Paducah, KYFREEZING RAIN REPORTED AT BARKLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT AND THE NWS OFFICE.
Feb 20, 4:41 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Folsomdale, KYSIGNIFICANT ICED ROADWAYS REPORTED THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN HALF GRAVES COUNTY. VERY HAZARDOUS.
Feb 20, 5:06 PM CSTSLEET 1Arlington, KYMULTIPLE REPORTS OF ROADS COVERED WITH 0.5 TO 1 INCH OF SLEET
Feb 20, 5:08 PM CSTSLEET 11 S Symsonia, KY131 SOUTH OF SYMSONIA COVERED WITH 0.5 TO 1 INCH OF SLEET
Feb 20, 6:00 PM CSTSLEET 0.4West Paducah, KY0.4 INCH SLEET ACCUMULATION THROUGH 6PM
Feb 20, 6:00 PM CSTSNOW 0Clay, KYLESS THAN 1 INCH ACCUMULATION OF SNOW WITH CHANGEOVER TO SLEET NOW
Feb 20, 6:15 PM CSTSNOW 0Powderly, KYFAIRLY HEAVY SNOW RIGHT NOW WITH ACCUMLATION LESS THAN AN INCH
Feb 20, 6:45 PM CSTSLEET 0.52 S Calvert City, KY0.5 INCH OF SLEET/SNOW MEASURED. CURRENTLY FREEZING RAIN WITH A SLIGHT COATING OF ICE ON SURFACES
Feb 20, 6:45 PM CSTSLEET 0.52 S Calvert City, KY0.5 INCH OF SLEET/SNOW MEASURED. CURRENTLY FREEZING RAIN WITH SLIGHT COATING OF ICE ON SURFACES
Feb 20, 6:45 PM CSTSNOW 0.52 S Calvert City, KY0.5 INCH OF SLEET/SNOW MEASURED. CURRENTLY FREEZING RAIN WITH A SLIGHT COATING OF ICE ON SURFACES
Feb 20, 7:35 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Bernie, MO0.10 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION IN PAST HOUR
Feb 20, 7:45 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1St. Joseph, KYICE ACCUMULATION OF 0.1 INCH
Feb 20, 7:55 PM CSTSLEET 14 Sw Dexter, KY1 INCH SLEET ACCUMULATION, 0.5 HAS FALLEN SINCE 6PM
Feb 20, 7:55 PM CSTSLEET 14 Sw Dexter, MO1.0 INCH OF SLEET ACCUMULATION, 0.5 SINCE 6PM
Feb 20, 8:35 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Wingo, KY1/8 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON POWER LINES AND TREES
Feb 20, 8:35 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.12Paducah, KY1/8 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
Feb 20, 8:35 PM CSTSNOW 0.77 N Pembroke, KY0.5 INCH OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY 0.2 INCH OF SLEET
Feb 20, 8:43 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Fairfield, IL0.1 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION
Feb 20, 9:30 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Poplar Bluff, MO0.2 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION IN LAST 6 HRS. ACCOMPANIED BY THUNDER
Feb 20, 10:00 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Newburgh, IN0.1 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION. SLEET/FREEZING RAIN MIX FALLING.
Feb 20, 10:15 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.12 S Calvert City, KYTREES/SURFACES COATED WITH AT LEAST 0.1 INCHES OF ICE. NEW SNOW/SLEET TOTAL OF 1/2 INCH IN LAST 4 HOURS.
Feb 20, 10:15 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Poplar Bluff, MOTHREE INCH ICE SICKLES HANGING OFF DECK RAILING, LARGE PINE TREE BRANCHES SAGGING
Feb 20, 10:30 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Clay, KYICE ACCUMLATION OF 0.2 INCHES.
Feb 20, 10:45 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Nw Gracey, KY0.1 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION WITH 0.5 INCH SLEET AS WELL
Feb 20, 11:00 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.16 Sw Greenville, KY
Feb 20, 11:10 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Cape Girardeau, MO1/4 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION. CURRENTLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN
Feb 20, 11:50 PM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.122 W Cobden, ILICE ACCUMLATION SO FAR.
Feb 21, 12:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2West Paducah, KY0.2 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH 0.2 INCHES OF SLEET IN LAST 6 HRS.
Feb 21, 12:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.254 Ne Evansville, IN1/4 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION AT EVANSVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT IN LAST 6 HRS
Feb 21, 12:15 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Dahlgren, IL
Feb 21, 12:15 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Dahlgren, ILHEAVY RAIN FREEZING INSTANTLY ON ALL SURFACES
Feb 21, 12:15 AM CSTBLIZZARDDahlgren, IL
Feb 21, 12:20 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Paducah, KYESTIMATE OF 0.25 OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ON TREES IN DOWNTOWN PADUCAH
Feb 21, 12:23 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Joppa, ILTWO TENTHS ACCUMULATION OF ICE ON TREES
Feb 21, 12:29 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.1Dahlgren, ILHEAVY RAIN FREEZING INSTANTLY ON ALL SURFACES
Feb 21, 12:30 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Benton, KYCARS SLIDING ALL OVER THE PLACE
Feb 21, 1:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.15Marion, IL0.15 INCH ICE ON TREE LIMBS. PUDDLES AND SOME PONDING ON ROADWAYS, AS WELL AS SOME SLICK SPOTS
Feb 21, 1:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Ledbetter, KY0.25 TO 0.30 OF AN INCH FREEZING RAIN ON POWER LINES AND BRANCHES. POWER LINES SAGGING.
Feb 21, 1:15 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2510 W Goreville, IL1/4 INCH ICE ON POWER LINES AND TREES
Feb 21, 2:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.252 S Calvert City, KYAT LEAST 1/4 INCH OF ICE. SOME TREE LIMBS SAGGING TEMPERATURE HAS RISEN TO 33 NOW
Feb 21, 2:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Du Quoin, ILTREES AND POWER LINES COMPLETELY ICE COVERED. WATER BEGINNING TO POND AND COVER ROADWAYS
Feb 21, 3:14 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.21 S Owensboro, KYSOLID SHEET OF ICE ON ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. POWER LINES AND TREES ARE ICED OVER
Feb 21, 5:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Benton, ILABOUT 20 HOMES WITHOUT POWER. REPORTED BY AMEREN.
Feb 21, 5:56 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Bernie, MO0.4 INCHES OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES.
Feb 21, 5:56 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.4Bernie, MO0.4 ICE ACCUMULATION. POWER LINES SAGGING. ROADS ARE VERY SLICK AND DANGEROUS.
Feb 21, 7:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.3Crofton, KY24 HOUR ICE BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 7:00 AM CSTSLEET 0Carbondale, ILDUE TO SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW, ROADS ARE HAZARDOUS AND DIFFICULT TO TRAVEL. MINOR TREE DAMAGE DUE TO SNAPPED BRANCHES AND BENDING.
Feb 21, 7:32 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Newburgh, INTWO TENTHS INCH OF ICE BUILDUP ON TREES.
Feb 21, 7:58 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.22 E Crossville, ILICE BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 8:15 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.58 W Dixon, KY24 HOUR ICE BUILDUP IN THE COMMUNITY OF CLAY, KY. RAINING AT TIME OF REPORT.
Feb 21, 8:55 AM CSTSNOW 0Dexter, MOPUBLIC REPORT OF BUSINESS ROOF COLLAPSE DUE TO WEIGHT OF SNOW, ICE AND SLEET BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 9:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.2Evansville, IN24 HOUR ICE BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 9:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.8Shawneetown, IL24 HOUR ICE BUILDUP FROM FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.
Feb 21, 9:03 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Dexter, MOROOF COLLAPSE OF GAS STATION DUE TO ICE, SLEET AND SNOW BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 9:12 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Evansville, INDOWNED TRES AND DAMAGED VEHICLES REPORTED AT UNIVERISTY OF SOUTHERN INDIANA CAMPUS. TREES FELL DUE TO ICE BUILDUP.
Feb 21, 9:52 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0Evansville, INOVER 500 CUSTOMERS WITHOUT POWER IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA DUE TO ICE DAMAGED TREES FALLING ACROSS POWER LINES.
Feb 21, 11:00 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.25Mount Vernon, IN24 HOUR FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TOTAL.
Feb 21, 11:03 AM CSTFREEZING RAIN 0.254 S Marble Hill, MO24 HOUR FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACCUMULATION.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1512 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

324 
WWUS43 KPAH 202124
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
324 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. WITH
ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY
TRANSITION FROM SNOW AND SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL EVENTUALLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EARLY SATURDAY.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-210600-
/O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPAH.WS.W.0002.150220T2124Z-150221T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
324 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND WEST KENTUCKY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
  INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA TO A HALF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS
  MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM
  AROUND A QUARTER INCH OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TO A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA. AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE A
  THUNDERSTORM COULD SEE ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ICE...SLEET OR
  SNOW. 

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE QUICKLY AS THE
  PRECIPITATION BEGINS. AREAS THAT GET ENHANCED ICING DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.
  CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING
  FROM NORTH TO SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
918 
WWUS43 KPAH 202124 CCA
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
324 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

.A STRONG WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. WITH
ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY
TRANSITION FROM SNOW AND SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL EVENTUALLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EARLY SATURDAY.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-210600-
/O.UPG.KPAH.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1200Z/
/O.COR.KPAH.WS.W.0002.150220T2124Z-150221T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
324 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND WEST KENTUCKY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING: LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4
  INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA TO A HALF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS
  MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM
  AROUND A QUARTER INCH OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TO A TENTH
  OF AN INCH OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA. AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE A
  THUNDERSTORM COULD SEE ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ICE...SLEET OR
  SNOW. 

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE QUICKLY AS THE
  PRECIPITATION BEGINS. AREAS THAT GET ENHANCED ICING DUE TO
  THUNDERSTORMS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.
  CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING
  FROM SOUTH TO NORTH EARLY SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
680 
WWUS43 KPAH 210244
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
844 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...SIGNIFICANT SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...

.A STRONG WARM FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. WITH
ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT...PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY
TRANSITION FROM SNOW AND SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING.
TEMPERATURES WILL EVENTUALLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-211000-
/O.CON.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1200Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...
MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...
BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...
CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...
CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
844 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: SLEET ACCUMULATIONS MAY RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
  SOUTHWEST INDIANA TO A HALF AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS MUCH OF
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH OR MORE
  ARE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM WINSLOW
  INDIANA TO PADUCAH TO FULTON KENTUCKY. SOUTH AND EAST OF THAT
  LINE ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH ARE
  POSSIBLE WITH THE LEAST AMOUNT EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHERN
  PENNYRILE REGION OF WESTERN KENTUCKY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP
  TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
  MISSOURI. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST
  ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER THE
  AREA THROUGH THE EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. AREAS THAT
  GET ENHANCED ICING DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS COULD EXPERIENCE A FEW
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE AS TEMPERATURES
  CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

DRS/JP
875 
WWUS43 KPAH 211100
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015


ILZ092>094-KYZ001>013-016-017-021-022-MOZ110>112-114-211200-
/O.CAN.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1200Z/
ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-
MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-STODDARD-SCOTT-
MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...
HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...
SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE NOW WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING OVER MOST
OF THE AREA. .

$$

ILZ075>078-080>091-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-MOZ076-
086-087-100-107>109-211800-
/O.EXT.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-UNION KY-
WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-
CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT BRANCH...
PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...
VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* TIMING: THIS MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO QUARTER
  INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND COULD
  PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER THE
  AREA. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
289 
WWUS43 KPAH 211100 CCA
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015


ILZ092>094-KYZ001>013-016-017-021-022-MOZ110>112-114-211200-
/O.CAN.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1200Z/
ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-
MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-STODDARD-SCOTT-
MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...
HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...
SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...
PRINCETON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE NOW WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING OVER MOST
OF THE AREA. .

$$

ILZ075>078-080>091-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-MOZ076-
086-087-100-107>109-211800-
/O.COR.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-UNION KY-
WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-
CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT BRANCH...
PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...
PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...
VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF
500 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* TIMING: THIS MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH
  WILL BE POSSIBLE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
  POSSIBLE...AND COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER THE
  AREA. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE ALSO LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
214 
WWUS43 KPAH 211646
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1046 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015


KYZ014-015-018>020-211800-
/O.CAN.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN
1046 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE FREEZING AND ADDITIONAL
IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THIS AREA.

$$

ILZ075>078-080>091-INZ081-082-085>088-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>109-
211800-
/O.CON.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-PERRY MO-
BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT BRANCH...
PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...
PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...
VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF
1046 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* TIMING: THIS MORNING.

* AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TENTH TO QUARTER 
  INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
  ALSO POSSIBLE...AND COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN. 

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER 
  THE AREA. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES ARE ALSO LIKELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$
045 
WWUS43 KPAH 211757
WSWPAH

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1157 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015


ILZ075>078-080>091-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>109-211900-
/O.CAN.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T1800Z/
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-
BUTLER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...
JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...
POPLAR BLUFF
1157 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ALLOWED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING TO EXPIRE.


$$

INZ081-082-085>088-212100-
/O.EXT.KPAH.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150221T2100Z/
GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE...
EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT
1157 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON.

* AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL
  BE POSSIBLE. 

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS AND DETERIORATE
  FURTHER IN SOME AREAS. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES WILL CONTINUE AS
  WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 20, 11:52 AM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 11:52 AM CST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1152 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR THE 18Z TAF ISSUANCE.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

ALREADY GETTING FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI THIS MORNING. SEE NO REASON WHY PRECIPITATION TYPES WILL
TREND COLDER THROUGH THE DAY...SO TRIED TO PUSH SLEET AND FREEZING
RAIN NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA A BIT FASTER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
THE PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN QUITE SHOWERY OVER SOUTHWEST PORTIONS
OF THE AREA...AND THE HRRR AND WRF RUNS INDICATE THAT THAT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY CHANGES TO
HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 755 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS AND LATEST
SHORT TERM MODEL DATA. THOUGH SOME MEASURABLE PCPN MAY FALL MAINLY
WEST OF THE MS RIVER IN THE MORNING...MOST OF THE PCPN WILL
PROBABLY WAIT UNTIL THE AFTERNOON TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY.

ALSO UPDATED THE AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 430 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

SO FAR...THE DEVELOPING WARM ADVECTION PATTERN DEVELOPING OVER THE
PAH FORECAST AREA HAS YIELDED MID CLOUDINESS AND NOTHING
MEASURABLE AT THE GROUND. HOWEVER...THAT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE
PRIMARILY THIS AFTERNOON. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT THE PCPN
WILL START OUT AS SNOW...WITH SLEET INCREASINGLY MIXED IN MAINLY WEST
OF THE MS RIVER.

THE MOST INTERESTING TIME FRAME WILL BE THIS EVENING...WHEN WARM
AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE IN ALOFT. HOW MUCH DEPENDS ON WHICH MODEL
YOU BELIEVE. THE NAM HAD A MORE PRONOUNCED WARM TONGUE...BUT ALSO
COLDER SFC TEMPS THAN THE GFS...FOR EXAMPLE. SFC TEMP GRIDS WERE
BASED ON A BLEND OF MODEL DATA...AND THE FORECAST PCPN-TYPE WAS
BASED ON A COMPROMISE MAINLY BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE NAM. IT IS
BELIEVED THAT PCPN LOADING WILL PLAY A PART IN WARMING TEMPS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE EVENING.

AT THIS TIME...IN THE EVENING...AS THE SNOWFALL IS GRADUALLY
REPLACED BY A WINTRY MIX...IT APPEARS THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
FOR FREEZING RAIN...AND ICE ACCRETION...WILL BE RATHER NARROW.
EXCEPT FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-64...A FEW HOURS OF FREEZING RAIN IS
FORECAST IN THE EVENING ONLY. NORTH OF I-64...TIMING SHOULD BE
DELAYED UNTIL SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

AS A VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE REGION ON
SAT...ALL RAIN SHOULD BE UNDERWAY AFTER DAYBREAK...WITH A
POSSIBILITY OF SOME HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ACROSS ROUGHLY THE SRN
THIRD OF THE PAH FORECAST AREA. A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. PCPN WILL COME TO A RAPID END SAT NIGHT...WITH A
POSSIBLE WINTRY MIX FOR WRN KY LATE BEFORE DAYBREAK AS TEMPS CRASH
AGAIN BELOW FREEZING.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY
BETWEEN 1/2 INCH AND 2 INCHES.

THE MOST ICE ACCRETION SHOULD OCCUR NEAR THE TN STATE LINE...UP TO
AROUND 0.10 INCH...SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE SRN HALF OF
SERN MO AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF KY...AND MAYBE A HUNDREDTH OF AN
INCH POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 430 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

LITTLE TO NO CHANGE TO THE UPPER AIR PATTERN IN THE LONG TERM.
PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC OFF THE WEST COAST AND LOW CENTERS
FROM GREENLAND TO HUDSON BAY WILL KEEP BROAD TROF AND LOW HEIGHTS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE ROCKIES. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER IS FORECAST WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. TWO MINOR
SYSTEMS COULD AFFECT THE AREA...ONE MONDAY NIGHT...WITH THE SECOND
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. ONLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES IN FOR
THURSDAY AT THIS TIME FOR LIGHT SNOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

THE FORECAST IS STILL ON TRACK WITH A RAPID WARMING TREND EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT. ALL TAFS SHOULD SEE DETERIORATING CONDITIONS
TONIGHT WITH PRECIPITATION TYPE TRANSITIONING FROM SLEET/SNOW TO
FREEZING AND EVENTUALLY ALL RAIN BY 06Z. LOW CONFIDENCE ON WINDS
WITH A SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPING NORTHEAST RIGHT ACROSS THE
TERMINALS. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME SOUTHERLY GUSTS TONIGHT.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR ILZ075>078-
     080>094.

MO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR MOZ076-086-
     087-100-107>112-114.

IN...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR INZ081-082-
     085>088.

KY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR KYZ001>022.

&&

UPDATE...DRS
SHORT TERM...DB
LONG TERM...CN
AVIATION...DRS
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 5:08 AM CST, 10 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
508 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-211100-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
508 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS
THE REGION. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
DETAILS. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL BE BETWEEN ZERO AND -10 DEGREES
THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND
THE PENNYRILE REGION OF KENTUCKY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME FLOODING ISSUES WILL BE POSSIBLE...AS
THE RAINS FALL ON EXISTING SNOW COVER. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT SATURDAY MAINLY NEAR THE ARKANSAS
TENNESSEE BORDERS. WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO -10 DEGREES ARE FORECAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT PRECIPITATION TYPE AND ANY
ACCUMULATIONS AND OTHER IMPACTS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:29 PM CST, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
229 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     FREEZING RAIN    MURRAY                  36.61N 88.32W
02/20/2015  U0.00 INCH       CALLOWAY           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN AND MODERATE SNOW REPORTED

&&

SMITTY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:33 PM CST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
233 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     FREEZING RAIN    4 SW DEXTER             36.75N 90.01W
02/20/2015  M0.20 INCH       STODDARD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET BUILDUP. ROADS COVERED AND
            PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATING ON VEHICLES.

&&

SMITTY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:36 PM CST, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
236 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0227 PM     FREEZING RAIN    MAYFIELD                36.74N 88.65W
02/20/2015  U0.00 INCH       GRAVES             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN REPORTED IN MAYFIELD AS WELL AS THE TOWN OF
            WINGO

&&

SMITTY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:46 PM CST, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
246 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     FREEZING RAIN    MURRAY                  36.61N 88.32W
02/20/2015  U0.00 INCH       CALLOWAY           KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET OCCURRING.

&&

SMITTY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:49 PM CST, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
249 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     SLEET            POPLAR BLUFF            36.76N 90.41W
02/20/2015  M1.00 INCH       BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE INCH OF SLEET BUILDUP IN THE COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 2:53 PM CST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
253 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     SLEET            DEXTER                  36.79N 89.96W
02/20/2015  M0.50 INCH       STODDARD           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HALF INCH OF SLEET BUILDUP REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 4:57 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryPAHBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more10 hr
Feb 20, 3:56 PM CSTFlood WatchPAHBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 16 more23 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kentucky, 2015Winter Storm Warnings in Illinois, 2015Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every winter storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.