Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1496

July 20, 201548 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 20, 2015, 3:50 PM CDT for 48 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2015, 3:50 PM CDT (20:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2015, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 48 counties

Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Madison County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 868 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 144 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
868 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1243 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Crawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade and 15 more118 min
Jul 20, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Howell, Madison and 11 more97 min
Jul 20, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dunklin, Iron and 10 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.