Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 50

April 9, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 9, 2015, 6:48 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 6:48 PM CDT (23:48 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 102 counties

Alexander County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Massac County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Howard County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 8:13 PM CDTTornado WarningILXChristian, Macon, Moultrie, Shelby32 min
Apr 9, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler25 min
Apr 9, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXCumberland, Effingham, Shelby47 min
Apr 9, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne29 min
Apr 9, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry24 min
Apr 9, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau31 min
Apr 9, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley26 min
Apr 9, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne35 min
Apr 9, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Coles, Cumberland, Effingham, Jasper39 min
Apr 9, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Union49 min
Apr 9, 9:16 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHCape Girardeau, Perry29 min
Apr 9, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson, Perry23 min
Apr 9, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJefferson43 min
Apr 9, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClay, Effingham, Jasper52 min
Apr 9, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Cumberland, Jasper60 min
Apr 9, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard43 min
Apr 9, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJackson, Union, Williamson37 min
Apr 9, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wayne47 min
Apr 9, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDClay, Parke, Putnam, Vermillion, Vigo44 min
Apr 9, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski36 min
Apr 9, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson27 min
Apr 9, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXClark, Crawford, Jasper45 min
Apr 9, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Pope, Saline27 min
Apr 9, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Pope15 min
Apr 9, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, Wayne46 min
Apr 9, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGibson, Pike, Vanderburgh, Warrick24 min
Apr 10, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 140 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-122 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1085 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

922 
WWUS20 KWNS 092347
SEL0  
SPC WW 092347
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-100600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 50
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
650 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
  WESTERN INDIANA
  WESTERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 650 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE GIRARDEAU
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...WW 41...WW
42...WW 43...WW 44...WW 45...WW 46...WW 47...WW 48...WW 49...

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MO AND
WESTERN IL WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. 
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL POSE A
RISK OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL..AND A FEW
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 8, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Pope and 3 more116 min
Apr 9, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 8 more91 min
Apr 9, 12:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 8 more6 hr
Apr 9, 1:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Cook and 36 more9 hr
Apr 9, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll and 51 more93 min
Apr 9, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Effingham and 25 more60 min
Apr 9, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more6 hr
Apr 9, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, DeWitt and 37 more86 min
Apr 9, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn54 min
Apr 9, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland8 hr
Apr 9, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland59 min
Apr 9, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dearborn, Floyd, Franklin, Jefferson, Jennings and 5 more56 min
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFulton64 min
Apr 9, 1:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 11 more118 min
Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Benton, Camden, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 22 more7 hr
Apr 9, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.