Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 41

April 9, 201542 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 9, 2015, 1:48 PM CDT for 42 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana; 8 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 1:48 PM CDT (18:48 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 55 counties

Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN, Green County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Kenosha County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth31 min
Apr 9, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock21 min
Apr 9, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Peoria, Tazewell45 min
Apr 9, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, Winnebago18 min
Apr 9, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth24 min
Apr 9, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan, Scott44 min
Apr 9, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago36 min
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle34 min
Apr 9, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle33 min
Apr 9, 6:35 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLee, Ogle25 min
Apr 9, 6:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, Winnebago23 min
Apr 9, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMorgan, Sangamon48 min
Apr 9, 6:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle, Winnebago26 min
Apr 9, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox, Marshall, Peoria, Stark, Woodford49 min
Apr 9, 6:56 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, McHenry34 min
Apr 9, 6:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatLOTBoone, DeKalb, Ogle, Winnebago47 min
Apr 9, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTBoone, Ogle, Winnebago40 min
Apr 9, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth36 min
Apr 9, 7:16 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatLOTBoone, DeKalb, McHenry29 min
Apr 9, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth29 min
Apr 9, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle26 min
Apr 9, 7:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTMcHenry26 min
Apr 9, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Putnam24 min
Apr 9, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningILXChristian, Sangamon21 min
Apr 9, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth34 min
Apr 9, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WarningILXMarshall, Peoria, Woodford28 min
Apr 9, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTOgle, Winnebago24 min
Apr 9, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXRock, Walworth24 min
Apr 9, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningILXChristian, Macon34 min
Apr 9, 7:41 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatLOTMcHenry49 min
Apr 9, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Walworth, Waukesha32 min
Apr 9, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth27 min
Apr 9, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLaSalle39 min
Apr 9, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBoone, DeKalb, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Winnebago37 min
Apr 9, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall, Woodford33 min
Apr 9, 7:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMKXKenosha, Racine, Walworth32 min
Apr 9, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTMcHenry55 min
Apr 9, 8:13 PM CDTTornado WarningILXChristian, Macon, Moultrie, Shelby32 min
Apr 9, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXKenosha, Milwaukee, Racine31 min
Apr 9, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLaSalle24 min
Apr 9, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake24 min
Apr 9, 8:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Will35 min
Apr 9, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Kendall, Will32 min
Apr 9, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPiatt18 min
Apr 9, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Will37 min
Apr 9, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign28 min
Apr 9, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Will35 min
Apr 9, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 101 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 323 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

145 
WWUS20 KWNS 091849
SEL1  
SPC WW 091849
ILZ000-INZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-100400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
  FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA
  FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
  LAKE MICHIGAN

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MILWAUKEE WISCONSIN TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DECATUR ILLINOIS. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...

DISCUSSION...TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED WITH
INITIAL STORMS IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS DEVELOPING E/NE AND ADDITIONAL
STORMS ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE. BOTH AREAS WILL HAVE STRONG DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR SUPPORTING RISKS FOR A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...GRAMS/CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 8, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Pope and 3 more116 min
Apr 9, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 8 more91 min
Apr 9, 12:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 8 more6 hr
Apr 9, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll and 51 more93 min
Apr 9, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Effingham and 25 more60 min
Apr 9, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more6 hr
Apr 9, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, DeWitt and 37 more86 min
Apr 9, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 26 more6 hr
Apr 9, 12:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn54 min
Apr 9, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland8 hr
Apr 9, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDearborn, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland59 min
Apr 9, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dearborn, Floyd, Franklin, Jefferson, Jennings and 5 more56 min
Apr 9, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 6 more89 min
Apr 9, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Iowa and 6 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2015Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.