Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 39
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 9, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT for 14 counties in Illinois; 27 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 9, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 9, 2015, 7:21 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 74 counties
Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Pike County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 1:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 33 min |
| Apr 9, 1:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Livingston | 43 min |
| Apr 9, 1:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Wayne | 30 min |
| Apr 9, 1:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Carroll, Chariton | 47 min |
| Apr 9, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Monroe | 40 min |
| Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline | 43 min |
| Apr 9, 2:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Chariton, Macon, Randolph | 65 min |
| Apr 9, 2:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler | 40 min |
| Apr 9, 3:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Cooper, Howard | 36 min |
| Apr 9, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Keokuk | 26 min |
| Apr 9, 3:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Boone | 40 min |
| Apr 9, 3:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Scotland | 41 min |
| Apr 9, 3:39 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Keokuk, Washington | 36 min |
| Apr 9, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Monroe | 42 min |
| Apr 9, 4:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Audrain | 32 min |
| Apr 9, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, Washington | 46 min |
| Apr 9, 4:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lewis | 29 min |
| Apr 9, 4:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls | 29 min |
| Apr 9, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Henry, Lee | 43 min |
| Apr 9, 4:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Linn | 6 hr |
| Apr 9, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 27 min |
| Apr 9, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock | 39 min |
| Apr 9, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Cedar, Clinton, Muscatine, Scott | 45 min |
| Apr 9, 5:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Scott | 24 min |
| Apr 9, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Warren | 38 min |
| Apr 9, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike | 41 min |
| Apr 9, 5:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Clinton, Scott | 36 min |
| Apr 9, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, McDonough | 48 min |
| Apr 9, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Pike | 32 min |
| Apr 9, 5:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Carroll, Whiteside | 26 min |
| Apr 9, 6:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Carroll | 20 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 101 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -154 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 614 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 323 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 253 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
026
WWUS20 KWNS 091759
SEL9
SPC WW 091759
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-100100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
WESTERN ILLINOIS
NORTHERN MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF CEDAR
RAPIDS IOWA TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ALONG A COLD FRONT AND SURFACE
CYCLONE WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
TORNADOES THE PRIMARY INITIAL HAZARDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...GRAMS/CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 7:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Pope and 3 more | 116 min |
| Apr 9, 12:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 8 more | 91 min |
| Apr 9, 1:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Cook and 36 more | 9 hr |
| Apr 9, 3:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll and 51 more | 93 min |
| Apr 9, 3:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Effingham and 25 more | 60 min |
| Apr 9, 4:40 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 9, 6:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, DeWitt and 37 more | 86 min |
| Apr 9, 6:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 26 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 9, 1:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 11 more | 118 min |
| Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barry, Benton, Camden, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Oregon and 5 more | 64 min |
| Apr 9, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.