Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 39

April 9, 201514 counties in Illinois; 27 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 9, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT for 14 counties in Illinois; 27 counties in Iowa; 33 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2015, 7:21 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 74 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Pike County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 1:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Lucas, Wayne33 min
Apr 9, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Livingston43 min
Apr 9, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Wayne30 min
Apr 9, 1:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton47 min
Apr 9, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMonroe40 min
Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard, Pettis, Saline43 min
Apr 9, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Macon, Randolph65 min
Apr 9, 2:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Putnam, Schuyler40 min
Apr 9, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCooper, Howard36 min
Apr 9, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNKeokuk26 min
Apr 9, 3:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone40 min
Apr 9, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNScotland41 min
Apr 9, 3:39 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNKeokuk, Washington36 min
Apr 9, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe42 min
Apr 9, 4:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain32 min
Apr 9, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Johnson, Louisa, Muscatine, Washington46 min
Apr 9, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis29 min
Apr 9, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Pike, Ralls29 min
Apr 9, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Lee43 min
Apr 9, 4:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNLinn6 hr
Apr 9, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams27 min
Apr 9, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock39 min
Apr 9, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Muscatine, Scott45 min
Apr 9, 5:06 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNScott24 min
Apr 9, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Warren38 min
Apr 9, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike41 min
Apr 9, 5:24 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNClinton, Scott36 min
Apr 9, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, McDonough48 min
Apr 9, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Pike32 min
Apr 9, 5:49 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatDVNCarroll, Whiteside26 min
Apr 9, 6:10 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNCarroll20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 101 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 323 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

026 
WWUS20 KWNS 091759
SEL9  
SPC WW 091759
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-100100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST IOWA
  WESTERN ILLINOIS
  NORTHERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
  800 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF CEDAR
RAPIDS IOWA TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ALONG A COLD FRONT AND SURFACE
CYCLONE WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
TORNADOES THE PRIMARY INITIAL HAZARDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...GRAMS/CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 8, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Pope and 3 more116 min
Apr 9, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 8 more91 min
Apr 9, 1:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Cook and 36 more9 hr
Apr 9, 3:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll and 51 more93 min
Apr 9, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Cumberland, Effingham and 25 more60 min
Apr 9, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more6 hr
Apr 9, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, DeKalb, DeWitt and 37 more86 min
Apr 9, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 26 more6 hr
Apr 9, 1:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 11 more118 min
Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Benton, Camden, Christian, Dade, Dallas and 22 more7 hr
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Oregon and 5 more64 min
Apr 9, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.