Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 47

April 9, 201512 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 9, 2015, 5:15 PM CDT for 12 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 5:15 PM CDT (22:15 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2015, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt

Counties Columbia County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Ozaukee County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Washington County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXColumbia, Dane, Iowa, Sauk36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 101 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 323 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-154 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
323 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 1:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGreen, Jefferson, Kenosha, Milwaukee, Racine, Rock and 2 more9 hr
Apr 9, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalumet, Columbia, Dane, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 6 more89 min
Apr 9, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreen, Kenosha, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.