Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 378
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 14, 2021, 2:35 PM CDT for 47 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 14, 2021, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 14, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 47 counties
Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monona County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 3:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Carroll, Greene | 35 min |
| Jul 14, 4:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Boone, Hamilton, Story, Webster | 41 min |
| Jul 14, 4:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Franklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Wright | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun, Greene, Webster | 31 min |
| Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hamilton, Hardin | 31 min |
| Jul 14, 4:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Butler | 30 min |
| Jul 14, 4:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Franklin, Hardin | 40 min |
| Jul 14, 4:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Bremer, Butler | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 4:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hamilton, Hardin | 25 min |
| Jul 14, 5:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Hamilton, Hardin, Story | 25 min |
| Jul 14, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler | 42 min |
| Jul 14, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Grundy, Hardin | 42 min |
| Jul 14, 5:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 5:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Floyd | 42 min |
| Jul 14, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy | 41 min |
| Jul 14, 5:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Cerro Gordo | 25 min |
| Jul 14, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Bremer | 37 min |
| Jul 14, 5:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Calhoun | 47 min |
| Jul 14, 6:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Fayette | 45 min |
| Jul 14, 6:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Black Hawk, Grundy, Marshall, Tama | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 6:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan | 41 min |
| Jul 14, 6:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ARX | Chickasaw, Floyd | 52 min |
| Jul 14, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Buchanan | 50 min |
| Jul 14, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Buchanan | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Tama | 48 min |
| Jul 14, 6:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Webster | 36 min |
| Jul 14, 6:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Tama | 19 min |
| Jul 14, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware | 49 min |
| Jul 14, 6:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton | 47 min |
| Jul 14, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Polk, Story | 67 min |
| Jul 14, 7:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware | 17 min |
| Jul 14, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Tama | 14 min |
| Jul 14, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Linn | 38 min |
| Jul 14, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware | 35 min |
| Jul 14, 7:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton | 32 min |
| Jul 14, 7:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Buchanan, Delaware | 32 min |
| Jul 14, 7:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton | 27 min |
| Jul 14, 8:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Marshall | 35 min |
| Jul 14, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Linn | 46 min |
| Jul 14, 8:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton, Linn | 22 min |
| Jul 14, 8:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Marshall, Polk, Story | 6 hr |
| Jul 14, 8:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Benton, Linn | 29 min |
| Jul 14, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Polk, Story | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Poweshiek, Tama | 45 min |
| Jul 14, 9:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 967 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -125 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1201 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 35 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted.
485
WWUS20 KWNS 141933
SEL8
SPC WW 141933
IAZ000-150200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 378
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CDT Wed Jul 14 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Much of central and northern Iowa
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon and early evening and pose a risk for a few
tornadoes, damaging winds and large hail. Thunderstorm coverage is
expected to increase with time with a continued risk for all severe
hazards.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Storm Lake IA
to 10 miles south southeast of Waterloo IA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27025.
...BuntingSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 7:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 43 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 8:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 13 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 14, 11:45 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Clayton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 1:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler and 38 more | 2 hr |
| Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Butler, Calhoun, Franklin, Greene, Grundy and 5 more | 58 min |
| Jul 14, 5:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allamakee, Clayton, Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones | 63 min |
| Jul 14, 5:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 29 more | 118 min |
| Jul 14, 6:13 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allamakee, Cedar, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque and 7 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.