Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 378

July 14, 202147 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 14, 2021, 2:35 PM CDT for 47 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monona County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

45 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 3:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCalhoun, Carroll, Greene35 min
Jul 14, 4:04 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBoone, Hamilton, Story, Webster41 min
Jul 14, 4:23 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXFranklin, Hamilton, Hardin, Wright37 min
Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXCalhoun, Greene, Webster31 min
Jul 14, 4:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXHamilton, Hardin31 min
Jul 14, 4:30 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXButler30 min
Jul 14, 4:35 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXFranklin, Hardin40 min
Jul 14, 4:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBremer, Butler37 min
Jul 14, 4:56 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXHamilton, Hardin25 min
Jul 14, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXHamilton, Hardin, Story25 min
Jul 14, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler42 min
Jul 14, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGrundy, Hardin42 min
Jul 14, 5:23 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler37 min
Jul 14, 5:33 PM CDTTornado WarningARXFloyd42 min
Jul 14, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer, Butler, Grundy41 min
Jul 14, 5:50 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCerro Gordo25 min
Jul 14, 5:53 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDMXBlack Hawk, Bremer37 min
Jul 14, 5:58 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCalhoun47 min
Jul 14, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningARXFayette45 min
Jul 14, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBlack Hawk, Grundy, Marshall, Tama43 min
Jul 14, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan41 min
Jul 14, 6:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedARXChickasaw, Floyd52 min
Jul 14, 6:25 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan50 min
Jul 14, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan43 min
Jul 14, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTama48 min
Jul 14, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXWebster36 min
Jul 14, 6:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXTama19 min
Jul 14, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware49 min
Jul 14, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton47 min
Jul 14, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk, Story67 min
Jul 14, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware17 min
Jul 14, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTama14 min
Jul 14, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Linn38 min
Jul 14, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware35 min
Jul 14, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton32 min
Jul 14, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware32 min
Jul 14, 7:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton27 min
Jul 14, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMarshall35 min
Jul 14, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Linn46 min
Jul 14, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Linn22 min
Jul 14, 8:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXMarshall, Polk, Story6 hr
Jul 14, 8:31 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Linn29 min
Jul 14, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk, Story43 min
Jul 14, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPoweshiek, Tama45 min
Jul 14, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Iowa32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 967 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
967 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-125 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1201 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

485 
WWUS20 KWNS 141933
SEL8  
SPC WW 141933
IAZ000-150200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 378
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CDT Wed Jul 14 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Much of central and northern Iowa

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM
  until 900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon and early evening and pose a risk for a few
tornadoes, damaging winds and large hail.  Thunderstorm coverage is
expected to increase with time with a continued risk for all severe
hazards.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Storm Lake IA
to 10 miles south southeast of Waterloo IA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27025.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 43 more2 hr
Jul 14, 8:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 13 more5 hr
Jul 14, 11:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones2 hr
Jul 14, 1:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler and 38 more2 hr
Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Butler, Calhoun, Franklin, Greene, Grundy and 5 more58 min
Jul 14, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Clayton, Delaware, Dubuque, Jackson, Jones63 min
Jul 14, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 29 more118 min
Jul 14, 6:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Cedar, Clayton, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque and 7 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.