Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 379

July 14, 20215 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Iowa; 11 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 14, 2021, 6:13 PM CDT for 5 counties in Illinois; 13 counties in Iowa; 11 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 29 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Linn County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware49 min
Jul 14, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware17 min
Jul 14, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Linn38 min
Jul 14, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware35 min
Jul 14, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware32 min
Jul 14, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque19 min
Jul 14, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Linn46 min
Jul 14, 8:19 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Linn22 min
Jul 14, 8:31 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBenton, Linn29 min
Jul 14, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNDelaware, Linn49 min
Jul 14, 9:12 PM CDTTornado WarningMKXColumbia, Marquette33 min
Jul 14, 9:29 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNDelaware, Jones46 min
Jul 14, 10:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJones43 min
Jul 14, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Johnson, Jones, Linn46 min
Jul 14, 10:34 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNCedar26 min
Jul 14, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJackson49 min
Jul 14, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Clinton, Jones, Scott38 min
Jul 14, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess50 min
Jul 14, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 573 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 108 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
573 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1106 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

002 
WWUS20 KWNS 142311
SEL9  
SPC WW 142311
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-150500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 379
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Wed Jul 14 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Iowa
  Northwest Illinois
  Southern Wisconsin

* Effective this Wednesday night from 610 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Several supercells ongoing across east-central/northeast
Iowa will continue eastward in vicinity of a warm front and
recovering air mass from storms earlier today. As low-level winds
further strengthen, tornadoes will remain a possibility and damaging
wind potential may somewhat increase as storms tend to cluster this
evening. Isolated large hail is also possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles north of Cedar Rapids IA to
10 miles north of Janesville WI. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 378...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJo Daviess, Stephenson2 hr
Jul 14, 11:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Jo Daviess, McHenry, Ogle, Stephenson and 1 more2 hr
Jul 14, 2:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 9 more119 min
Jul 14, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Winnebago63 min
Jul 14, 8:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 13 more5 hr
Jul 14, 1:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler and 38 more2 hr
Jul 14, 2:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 41 more8 hr
Jul 14, 4:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Butler, Calhoun, Franklin, Greene, Grundy and 5 more58 min
Jul 14, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Benton, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buchanan and 29 more118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2021Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2021Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.