Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 21, 2021, 1:11 PM EDT for Coos County, Grafton County, New Hampshire; 20 counties in New York; 14 counties in Vermont. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 21, 2021, 1:11 PM EDT (17:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2021, 10:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 36 counties
Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT
The radar
The Burlington radar (KCXX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
49 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 1:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 49 min |
| Jun 21, 2:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cortland, Madison, Onondaga | 53 min |
| Jun 21, 2:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Herkimer | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 2:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin, St. Lawrence | 55 min |
| Jun 21, 3:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 3:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 3:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Clinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence | 54 min |
| Jun 21, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Tompkins | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Oneida | 26 min |
| Jun 21, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Warren | 41 min |
| Jun 21, 3:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 4:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 4:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Warren | 46 min |
| Jun 21, 4:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Chittenden, Lamoille, Orange, Washington | 60 min |
| Jun 21, 4:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ALY | Hamilton | 44 min |
| Jun 21, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 23 min |
| Jun 21, 4:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 65 min |
| Jun 21, 4:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Chemung, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Tompkins | 48 min |
| Jun 21, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Onondaga | 67 min |
| Jun 21, 5:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 27 min |
| Jun 21, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 63 min |
| Jun 21, 5:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Caledonia, Chittenden, Lamoille, Orange, Orleans and 2 more | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins | 42 min |
| Jun 21, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 5:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Oneida | 47 min |
| Jun 21, 5:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Cayuga, Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Onondaga | 56 min |
| Jun 21, 5:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos | 43 min |
| Jun 21, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 36 min |
| Jun 21, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Cortland, Tioga, Tompkins | 61 min |
| Jun 21, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Essex | 59 min |
| Jun 21, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 55 min |
| Jun 21, 6:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Hamilton, Herkimer | 57 min |
| Jun 21, 6:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Rutland, Windsor | 57 min |
| Jun 21, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 6:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos | 52 min |
| Jun 21, 6:46 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer | 29 min |
| Jun 21, 6:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Orange, Windsor | 28 min |
| Jun 21, 6:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton, Sullivan | 35 min |
| Jun 21, 6:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Otsego | 64 min |
| Jun 21, 7:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Hamilton, Saratoga, Warren | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 7:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chenango, Delaware, Otsego | 39 min |
| Jun 21, 7:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 34 min |
| Jun 21, 8:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 43 min |
| Jun 21, 8:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady | 62 min |
| Jun 21, 9:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 60 min |
| Jun 21, 9:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Rensselaer, Saratoga | 61 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 524 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -118 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 990 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 162 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 192 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 2.4
The text
As transmitted.
375
WWUS20 KWNS 211710
SEL0
SPC WW 211710
NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-220100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 300
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern New Hampshire
Central and Eastern New York
Vermont
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify rapidly this
afternoon across the watch area. Scattered severe storms capable of
damaging wind gusts and large hail will be possible. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of
Syracuse NY to 35 miles north northeast of Berlin NH. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 299...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 11:59 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cattaraugus, Chautauqua | 91 min |
| Jun 21, 12:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer and 12 more | 89 min |
| Jun 21, 12:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 14 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clinton, Essex, Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton, Herkimer and 7 more | 85 min |
| Jun 21, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albany, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Otsego and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 21, 3:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Livingston, Ontario, Steuben, Wayne, Yates | 58 min |
| Jun 21, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Orange | 6 hr |
| Jun 21, 6:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Broome, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland, Delaware and 23 more | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.