Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 288
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2021, 5:48 PM CDT for 21 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2021, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2021, 11:41 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 35 counties
Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Chase County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Chase, Perkins | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 96 min |
| Jun 19, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Sherman, Wallace | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur, Rawlins | 91 min |
| Jun 19, 7:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Gove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas | 86 min |
| Jun 19, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Hamilton, Stanton | 53 min |
| Jun 19, 8:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur, Norton, Rawlins | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 9:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Gove, Graham, Sheridan | 89 min |
| Jun 19, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Trego | 58 min |
| Jun 19, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Furnas, Gosper | 39 min |
| Jun 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Frontier, Hayes | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 9:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips, Rooks | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan, Phelps | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Phillips, Smith | 42 min |
| Jun 19, 10:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Norton | 26 min |
| Jun 19, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Mitchell, Osborne, Rooks | 51 min |
| Jun 19, 10:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips, Rooks | 30 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2349 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
706
WWUS20 KWNS 192246
SEL8
SPC WW 192246
KSZ000-NEZ000-200500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 288
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Kansas
Southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 545 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to merge and organize into an intense
and well-organized line of storms as they move out of eastern
Colorado and the southern Nebraska Panhandle into western Kansas and
southwest Nebraska. Damaging winds can be expected this evening,
with significant wind gusts potentially in excess of 75 mph.
Isolated large hail is possible as well, and a brief tornado could
also occur, particularly with any line-embedded circulations.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Goodland KS to 45 miles northeast of Hill City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 285...WW 287...WW 286...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 5:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Logan, Norton, Phillips and 6 more | 90 min |
| Jun 18, 9:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Johnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson | 8 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball and 2 more | 89 min |
| Jun 19, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Banner, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball, Morrill and 1 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Deuel, Morrill | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dawes | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.