Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 288

June 19, 202121 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2021, 5:48 PM CDT for 21 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2021, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 11:41 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 35 counties

Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Chase County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Perkins66 min
Jun 19, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne96 min
Jun 19, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDSherman, Wallace60 min
Jun 19, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Rawlins91 min
Jun 19, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas86 min
Jun 19, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Stanton53 min
Jun 19, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Norton, Rawlins66 min
Jun 19, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Graham, Sheridan89 min
Jun 19, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Trego58 min
Jun 19, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper39 min
Jun 19, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier, Hayes66 min
Jun 19, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Rooks42 min
Jun 19, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan, Phelps48 min
Jun 19, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis46 min
Jun 19, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Phillips, Smith42 min
Jun 19, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDNorton26 min
Jun 19, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne, Rooks51 min
Jun 19, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Rooks30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2349 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

706 
WWUS20 KWNS 192246
SEL8  
SPC WW 192246
KSZ000-NEZ000-200500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 288
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Kansas
  Southwest Nebraska

* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 545 PM until Midnight
  CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 80 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Storms will continue to merge and organize into an intense
and well-organized line of storms as they move out of eastern
Colorado and the southern Nebraska Panhandle into western Kansas and
southwest Nebraska. Damaging winds can be expected this evening,
with significant wind gusts potentially in excess of 75 mph.
Isolated large hail is possible as well, and a brief tornado could
also occur, particularly with any line-embedded circulations.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Goodland KS to 45 miles northeast of Hill City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 285...WW 287...WW 286...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Logan, Norton, Phillips and 6 more90 min
Jun 18, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 2 more2 hr
Jun 18, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJohnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson8 hr
Jun 19, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball and 2 more89 min
Jun 19, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball, Morrill and 1 more7 hr
Jun 19, 4:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Deuel, Morrill2 hr
Jun 19, 4:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawes92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.