Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Goodland, KS

789 
WWUS53 KGLD 200209
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
909 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

KSC153-NEC087-200219-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-210620T0300Z/
Rawlins KS-Hitchcock NE-
909 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN RAWLINS AND EASTERN
HITCHCOCK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
northwestern Kansas...and southwestern Nebraska.

LAT...LON 3957 10071 4035 10076 4035 10021 4000 10019
      4000 9962 3957 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 270DEG 31KT 4034 10061 3996 10037 3959 10035 

$$

KSC039-137-NEC145-200300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-210620T0300Z/
Norton KS-Decatur KS-Red Willow NE-
909 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR NORTON...DECATUR AND RED WILLOW COUNTIES...

At 909 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 9 miles north of McCook to 5 miles south of Danbury to
4 miles southeast of Dresden, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
  Jennings, Lebanon, Indianola, Bartley, Lenora, Edmond and Almena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10071 4035 10076 4035 10021 4000 10019
      4000 9962 3957 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 270DEG 31KT 4034 10061 3996 10037 3959 10035 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

AW

186 
WWUS53 KGLD 200239
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
939 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

KSC039-137-NEC145-200300-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-210620T0300Z/
Norton KS-Decatur KS-Red Willow NE-
939 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR NORTON...DECATUR AND RED WILLOW COUNTIES...

At 938 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles southwest of Medicine Creek Reservoir State
Recreation Area to 9 miles south of Wilsonville to near Lenora,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
McCook, Norton, Oberlin, Indianola, Almena, Bartley and Lenora. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3957 10071 4035 10076 4035 10021 4000 10019
      4000 9962 3957 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 267DEG 31KT 4035 10030 3997 10007 3960 10005 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

AW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
542 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 340 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

There is potential for severe storms this afternoon and evening. As
of 3 PM MDT, storms are beginning to develop along and east of I-25.
These storms are mostly isolated to scattered in nature; however, as
they move east the storms will develop into more of a line. These
storms are being driven by shortwaves moving southeast across the
Rockies ahead of an approaching cold front on Sunday. The HRRR is
handling the event fairly well, especially with the storm mode
evolution. MLCAPE values are in the 1000-2000 j/kg range with a
veering wind profile. Shear profiles are favorable with 30-40 kts of
EBWD and 30-50 kts of 0-6 km shear oriented to the W/WNW. Mid-level
lapse rates are range from 8-8.5 C/km across the area, indicating a
favorable environment as the storms move across. The main threat
this afternoon/evening is damaging winds up to 75 mph and 1-2" hail.
The hail threat is expected to diminish while the wind threat
increases as the storms move across NW KS and SW NE. With the recent
dry conditions, there is potential for blowing dust and reduced
visibilities due to strong outflows from the storms. A brief tornado
can't be ruled out; however, confidence is fairly low. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible, especially along the KS/NE border. Given the
storm motion and recent dry conditions, I'm not expecting flash
flooding to be much of an issue. The storms are expected to exit the
area around midnight. Overnight lows are expected to be in the upper
50s to upper 60s tonight with winds shifting to the SW then W
behind the line of storms at 10-15 mph.

Sunday, a cold front is expected to move southeast across the area
during the morning to early afternoon. As this front moves through,
winds are expected to increase to 15-25 mph as they shift to the
north. A few weak disturbances are expected to move across the High
Plains behind the front, which will boost precipitation chances for
the late afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms are possible;
however, the severe threat is fairly low. Showers and storms are
expected to impact the area through the overnight hours.
Temperatures will be slightly cooler tomorrow, thanks to the cold
front, with highs in the 80s to lower 90s and lows in the 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 335 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

NW flow aloft will prevail at the beginning of the long term
period.. on the eastern periphery of an upper level ridge over the
Rockies and Intermountain West. Flow aloft will back to the west
by mid-week as the ridge shifts ESE to the Southern Plains. Split
flow aloft is anticipated over the western CONUS by the end of
the week.. as an upper level low stalls invof the central Pacific
Coast. Expect increasing temperatures Tue-Wed.. as heights rise
in assoc/w the ridge progressing from the Rockies to the Southern
Plains. Temperatures will level off or slightly cool by late week.
At this time, precipitation chances appear very low.. though uncertainty
increases considerably by late week into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 542 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

Vfr conditions are initially forecast at both KGLD and KMCK
terminals at the start of the TAF period. The main impact this
evening will be a line of thunderstorms pushing through the region
from west to east. Timing may need to be adjusted, but current
thinking is storms will make it to KGLD around 02z and KMCK around
03z, bringing a brief period of very strong winds and reduced
visibilities due to rainfall. Beyond this, conditions will improve
overnight, with decreasing clouds as well as light and variable
winds. A cold front brings gusty north winds to both sites by mid
morning Sunday.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...KMK
LONG TERM...VINCENT
AVIATION...JBH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
728 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-210130-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
728 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021 /828 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for northwest Kansas and
southwest Nebraska until 11 PM MDT or midnight CDT.

A line of thunderstorms will track eastward into Kansas and Nebraska
during the evening. Severe thunderstorms capable of producing strong
damaging wind gusts up to 75 mph are anticipated, mainly before 11
PM MDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

Hot and dry conditions are expected to return on Wednesday and
Thursday with high temperatures in the 90s to lower 100s possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
724 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0709 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N ATWOOD              39.84N 101.04W
06/19/2021  M65 MPH          RAWLINS            KS   PUBLIC

            SITE SUNFLOWER AERO INC.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
727 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E LEVANT              39.38N 101.12W
06/19/2021  M71 MPH          THOMAS             KS   PUBLIC

            SITE COLBY SW.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
730 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 WSW GEM               39.41N 100.97W
06/19/2021  M84 MPH          THOMAS             KS   MESONET

            SITE COLBYWX. 1 MILE EAST OF TOWN.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
737 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NW COLBY              39.41N 101.08W
06/19/2021  M62 MPH          THOMAS             KS   MESONET

            MESONET STATION EW7172 2 NW COLBY.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
745 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0716 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE COLBY              39.40N 101.03W
06/19/2021  M88 MPH          THOMAS             KS   MESONET

            PERSONAL STATION RECORDED 88MPH GUST.

&&

KAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
749 PM MDT SAT JUN 19 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLBY                   39.39N 101.05W
06/19/2021                   THOMAS             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE POWER OUTAGES IN THE TOWN OF COLBY.
            ONE UTILITY POLE DOWN.

&&

JBH