Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2021, 1:44 PM MDT for 23 counties in Colorado; 7 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2021, 1:44 PM MDT (19:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 30 counties
Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE
The radar
The Denver radar (KFTG), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Morrill, Scotts Bluff | 41 min |
| Jun 19, 2:09 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams | 36 min |
| Jun 19, 2:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 56 min |
| Jun 19, 2:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 54 min |
| Jun 19, 2:40 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 35 min |
| Jun 19, 2:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill | 36 min |
| Jun 19, 2:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte, Morrill | 17 min |
| Jun 19, 2:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams | 23 min |
| Jun 19, 2:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert | 21 min |
| Jun 19, 2:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 2:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 45 min |
| Jun 19, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 31 min |
| Jun 19, 3:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Washington | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 3:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne | 59 min |
| Jun 19, 3:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 27 min |
| Jun 19, 3:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 3:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 50 min |
| Jun 19, 4:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan | 41 min |
| Jun 19, 4:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 51 min |
| Jun 19, 4:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Washington | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 4:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Logan | 30 min |
| Jun 19, 4:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 47 min |
| Jun 19, 4:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Huerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo | 43 min |
| Jun 19, 4:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 38 min |
| Jun 19, 4:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick | 41 min |
| Jun 19, 4:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Otero | 69 min |
| Jun 19, 4:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 5:01 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Custer, Pueblo | 3 hr |
| Jun 19, 5:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 58 min |
| Jun 19, 5:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 5:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips, Sedgwick | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 5:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 96 min |
| Jun 19, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 6:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Bent, Las Animas, Prowers | 74 min |
| Jun 19, 6:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent, Kiowa, Prowers | 45 min |
| Jun 19, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Bent, Kiowa, Prowers | 74 min |
| Jun 19, 7:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 67 min |
| Jun 19, 7:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent, Kiowa, Prowers | 70 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2627 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -23 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
552
WWUS20 KWNS 191941
SEL6
SPC WW 191941
COZ000-NEZ000-200300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Nebraska Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop near the Front Range and move
east into the High Plains this afternoon and evening. Large hail
and severe gusts will be the primary threats with the stronger
storms as a squall line eventually forms by early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northeast of
Scottsbluff NE to 10 miles south of La Junta CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 285...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...SmithSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 12:46 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Elbert, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 8 more | 89 min |
| Jun 19, 3:24 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:00 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kit Carson, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma | 90 min |
| Jun 18, 8:27 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 9:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Johnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson | 8 hr |
| Jun 19, 3:58 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dawes | 92 min |
| Jun 19, 4:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chase, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 8 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.