Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286

June 19, 202123 counties in Colorado; 7 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2021, 1:44 PM MDT for 23 counties in Colorado; 7 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2021, 1:44 PM MDT (19:44 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 30 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Banner County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Garden County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 2:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Morrill, Scotts Bluff41 min
Jun 19, 2:09 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUAdams36 min
Jun 19, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso56 min
Jun 19, 2:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso54 min
Jun 19, 2:40 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan35 min
Jun 19, 2:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill36 min
Jun 19, 2:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSBox Butte, Morrill17 min
Jun 19, 2:52 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUAdams23 min
Jun 19, 2:54 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert21 min
Jun 19, 2:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo48 min
Jun 19, 2:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso45 min
Jun 19, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld31 min
Jun 19, 3:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Washington34 min
Jun 19, 3:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSCheyenne59 min
Jun 19, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington27 min
Jun 19, 3:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln49 min
Jun 19, 3:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington50 min
Jun 19, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan41 min
Jun 19, 4:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln51 min
Jun 19, 4:12 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWashington33 min
Jun 19, 4:15 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULogan30 min
Jun 19, 4:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma47 min
Jun 19, 4:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo43 min
Jun 19, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington38 min
Jun 19, 4:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Phillips, Sedgwick41 min
Jun 19, 4:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBOtero69 min
Jun 19, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULincoln33 min
Jun 19, 5:01 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBCuster, Pueblo3 hr
Jun 19, 5:02 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma58 min
Jun 19, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson46 min
Jun 19, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips, Sedgwick29 min
Jun 19, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma96 min
Jun 19, 6:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson60 min
Jun 19, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Las Animas, Prowers74 min
Jun 19, 6:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Prowers45 min
Jun 19, 7:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Kiowa, Prowers74 min
Jun 19, 7:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca67 min
Jun 19, 7:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Prowers70 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2627 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

552 
WWUS20 KWNS 191941
SEL6  
SPC WW 191941
COZ000-NEZ000-200300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM MDT Sat Jun 19 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado
  Nebraska Panhandle

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop near the Front Range and move
east into the High Plains this afternoon and evening.  Large hail
and severe gusts will be the primary threats with the stronger
storms as a squall line eventually forms by early evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northeast of
Scottsbluff NE to 10 miles south of La Junta CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 285...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Smith

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 12:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Cheyenne, Elbert, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 8 more89 min
Jun 19, 3:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma2 hr
Jun 19, 4:00 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington, Yuma90 min
Jun 18, 8:27 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCass, Gage, Johnson, Lancaster, Nemaha, Otoe and 2 more2 hr
Jun 18, 9:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJohnson, Nemaha, Pawnee, Richardson8 hr
Jun 19, 3:58 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawes92 min
Jun 19, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChase, Dawson, Dundy, Frontier, Furnas, Gosper and 8 more6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.