Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283

June 18, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2021, 10:08 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2021, 10:08 PM CDT (03:08 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 75 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Scott County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 10:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Mercer58 min
Jun 18, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Monroe, Wayne51 min
Jun 18, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Madison, Union, Warren47 min
Jun 18, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Mercer, Warren48 min
Jun 18, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello45 min
Jun 18, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Cass51 min
Jun 18, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Warren43 min
Jun 18, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines27 min
Jun 18, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion25 min
Jun 18, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Lucas, Monroe, Wayne50 min
Jun 18, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Madison46 min
Jun 18, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska26 min
Jun 18, 11:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry, Jefferson39 min
Jun 18, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello53 min
Jun 18, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne50 min
Jun 18, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills38 min
Jun 18, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Louisa46 min
Jun 18, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass28 min
Jun 18, 11:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Warren40 min
Jun 18, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Union53 min
Jun 18, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie47 min
Jun 18, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLouisa, Washington29 min
Jun 18, 11:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Madison, Warren36 min
Jun 18, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Lucas, Monroe, Wayne50 min
Jun 18, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Clarke, Madison, Ringgold, Union46 min
Jun 19, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNKeokuk, Washington43 min
Jun 19, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren, Washington48 min
Jun 19, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams26 min
Jun 19, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDavis, Wapello31 min
Jun 19, 12:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren35 min
Jun 19, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Louisa27 min
Jun 19, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis46 min
Jun 19, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Marion, Monroe31 min
Jun 19, 1:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLee, Van Buren49 min
Jun 19, 4:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock57 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2090 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2090 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-169 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
307 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

332 
WWUS20 KWNS 190306
SEL3  
SPC WW 190306
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-191000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern and Eastern Iowa
  Western Illinois
  Northern Missouri
  Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1005 PM
  until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe storm development
are expected late this evening including across southern Iowa as
well as southeast Nebraska into northern Missouri. The strongest
storms will be capable of large hail. Damaging winds will also be a
possibility, particularly if a well-organized linear cluster evolves
through the early overnight hours as storms spread
east-southeastward across the region.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of
Shenandoah IA to 30 miles east southeast of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 8:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Brown, Cass, Christian, Clark, Clay and 26 more97 min
Jun 18, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 33 more7 hr
Jun 18, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer and 2 more2 hr
Jun 19, 2:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 27 more2 hr
Jun 19, 11:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEffingham, Fayette, Greene, Macoupin, Montgomery, Morgan and 1 more2 hr
Jun 19, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 7 more93 min
Jun 19, 2:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 9 more7 hr
Jun 19, 5:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison and 6 more64 min
Jun 19, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Logan, Norton, Phillips and 6 more90 min
Jun 19, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Greeley and 15 more6 hr
Jun 19, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball and 2 more89 min
Jun 19, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball, Morrill and 1 more7 hr
Jun 19, 4:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Deuel, Morrill2 hr
Jun 19, 4:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDawes92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.