Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 18, 2021, 10:08 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 18, 2021, 10:08 PM CDT (03:08 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2021, 6:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 75 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Page County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Scott County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Mercer | 58 min |
| Jun 18, 10:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Monroe, Wayne | 51 min |
| Jun 18, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Madison, Union, Warren | 47 min |
| Jun 18, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Mercer, Warren | 48 min |
| Jun 18, 10:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello | 45 min |
| Jun 18, 10:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Cass | 51 min |
| Jun 18, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Warren | 43 min |
| Jun 18, 11:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines | 27 min |
| Jun 18, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion | 25 min |
| Jun 18, 11:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Lucas, Monroe, Wayne | 50 min |
| Jun 18, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Madison | 46 min |
| Jun 18, 11:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska | 26 min |
| Jun 18, 11:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Jefferson | 39 min |
| Jun 18, 11:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello | 53 min |
| Jun 18, 11:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 50 min |
| Jun 18, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Mills | 38 min |
| Jun 18, 11:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Henry, Louisa | 46 min |
| Jun 18, 11:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Cass | 28 min |
| Jun 18, 11:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henderson, Warren | 40 min |
| Jun 18, 11:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Union | 53 min |
| Jun 18, 11:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 47 min |
| Jun 18, 11:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Louisa, Washington | 29 min |
| Jun 18, 11:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Madison, Warren | 36 min |
| Jun 18, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Lucas, Monroe, Wayne | 50 min |
| Jun 18, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Clarke, Madison, Ringgold, Union | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 12:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Keokuk, Washington | 43 min |
| Jun 19, 12:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jefferson, Keokuk, Van Buren, Washington | 48 min |
| Jun 19, 12:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adams | 26 min |
| Jun 19, 12:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Davis, Wapello | 31 min |
| Jun 19, 12:25 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren | 35 min |
| Jun 19, 12:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Louisa | 27 min |
| Jun 19, 12:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis | 46 min |
| Jun 19, 12:44 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Marion, Monroe | 31 min |
| Jun 19, 1:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Lee, Van Buren | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 4:33 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock | 57 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2090 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -169 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1569 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 307 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.3
The text
As transmitted.
332
WWUS20 KWNS 190306
SEL3
SPC WW 190306
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-191000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Eastern Iowa
Western Illinois
Northern Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1005 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe storm development
are expected late this evening including across southern Iowa as
well as southeast Nebraska into northern Missouri. The strongest
storms will be capable of large hail. Damaging winds will also be a
possibility, particularly if a well-organized linear cluster evolves
through the early overnight hours as storms spread
east-southeastward across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west of
Shenandoah IA to 30 miles east southeast of Burlington IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 280...WW 281...WW 282...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 8:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Brown, Cass, Christian, Clark, Clay and 26 more | 97 min |
| Jun 18, 9:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 18, 9:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 2:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 27 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 11:15 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Effingham, Fayette, Greene, Macoupin, Montgomery, Morgan and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 2:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 7 more | 93 min |
| Jun 19, 2:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 9 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 19, 5:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clinton, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison and 6 more | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 5:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Graham, Logan, Norton, Phillips and 6 more | 90 min |
| Jun 19, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cheyenne, Decatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Greeley and 15 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 19, 1:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Banner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball and 2 more | 89 min |
| Jun 19, 2:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Banner, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball, Morrill and 1 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Deuel, Morrill | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dawes | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.