Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1024

June 19, 202113 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 19, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 60 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT (02:00 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 288
All 25 counties

Cloud County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS, Adams County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2727 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

931 
ACUS11 KWNS 200201
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200200 
KSZ000-NEZ000-200300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1024
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0900 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

Areas affected...northwest/north-central KS...south-central NE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 288...

Valid 200200Z - 200300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 288
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for significant severe winds will continue over
eastern portions of the watch area, and a downstream watch will be
needed prior to 0245z.

DISCUSSION...Latest reflectivity/velocity data from KGLD shows an
intense bowing line of severe thunderstorms moving east at 50 mph
across northwest KS and southwest NE.  Several reports of severe
wind gusts have been received, including a measured gust to 84 mph
in Thomas County, KS.  The downstream environment remains supportive
of a continued severe risk with strong instability (MUCAPE in excess
of 2500 J/kg), and around 35 kts of westerly effective shear. 
Extrapolation of the current system movement would place the line at
the eastern edge of ww 288 by 03z/10 pm CDT, and thus a new Severe
Thunderstorm Watch will be needed prior to that time.

..Bunting.. 06/20/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   38830002 39120083 39800094 40160095 40740092 40820022
            40849923 40599820 40249762 39699737 39329753 39099806
            38830002

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 7:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Logan, Rawlins, Sherman, Thomas and 1 more113 min
Jun 19, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 10 more4 hr
Jun 19, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Clay, Cloud, Jewell, Marshall, Mitchell and 7 more96 min
Jun 19, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Doniphan, Marshall, Nemaha4 hr
Jun 20, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas, Jackson, Jefferson and 3 more118 min
Jun 20, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtchison, Doniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte7 hr
Jun 20, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Leavenworth, Wyandotte2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.