Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229

Issued

May 31, 2021, 11:16 AM MDT (17:16 UTC)

Expired

May 31, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT

In force

9 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

3 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 159 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

20%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

5%

Ten or more severe wind reports

20%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

60%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

40%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

80%

• Mesoscale Discussion 821 Severe potential...watch unlikelyMay 31, 8:18 AM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 823 Severe potential...watch likelyMay 31, 10:33 AM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 827 Severe thunderstorm watch 229May 31, 2:29 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 829 Severe thunderstorm watch 229May 31, 4:49 PM MDT

739 
WWUS20 KWNS 311714
SEL9  
SPC WW 311714
NMZ000-TXZ000-010000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast New Mexico
  Southwest Texas

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 3 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
over the mountains of southern New Mexico - and across parts of
southwest Texas.  A few of these storms are likely to become
supercells, capable of very large hail and gusty winds.  A tornado
or two is also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest
of Ruidoso NM to 30 miles southeast of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.

...Hart

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.