Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 214
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2021, 11:26 AM CDT for 48 counties in Illinois; 51 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2021, 11:26 AM CDT (16:26 UTC)
- Expired
- May 27, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 99 counties
Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Menard County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 11:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Greene, Macoupin | 43 min |
| May 27, 11:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 38 min |
| May 27, 11:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade, Dallas, Polk | 60 min |
| May 27, 11:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Saint Clair | 55 min |
| May 27, 11:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Morgan, Sangamon | 62 min |
| May 27, 12:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Greene, Macoupin, Montgomery | 38 min |
| May 27, 12:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene, Webster | 53 min |
| May 27, 12:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Laclede, Pulaski | 66 min |
| May 27, 12:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Macoupin, Madison | 34 min |
| May 27, 12:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton | 6 hr |
| May 27, 12:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Webster, Wright | 38 min |
| May 27, 12:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Bond, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery | 28 min |
| May 27, 1:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Christian, DeWitt, Logan, Macon, Sangamon, Shelby | 55 min |
| May 27, 1:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Camden, Christian, Dallas, Greene, Laclede, Polk and 1 more | 5 hr |
| May 27, 1:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Maries, Phelps | 41 min |
| May 27, 1:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin, Saint Louis | 51 min |
| May 27, 1:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas, Wright | 56 min |
| May 27, 1:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Gasconade | 51 min |
| May 27, 1:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence, Newton | 6 hr |
| May 27, 1:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, McDonald, Newton | 59 min |
| May 27, 1:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Franklin, Washington | 39 min |
| May 27, 1:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Douglas, Webster, Wright | 54 min |
| May 27, 2:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Christian, Stone | 6 hr |
| May 27, 2:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 47 min |
| May 27, 2:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Clinton, Fayette, Marion | 44 min |
| May 27, 2:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Douglas | 6 hr |
| May 27, 2:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Randolph | 29 min |
| May 27, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry | 50 min |
| May 27, 3:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 43 min |
| May 27, 3:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 42 min |
| May 27, 3:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Clay, Effingham, Jasper | 54 min |
| May 27, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Jasper, Richland | 58 min |
| May 27, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Christian, Douglas, Taney | 41 min |
| May 27, 4:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 36 min |
| May 27, 4:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry | 6 hr |
| May 27, 4:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Perry, Williamson | 44 min |
| May 27, 4:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Ozark, Stone, Taney | 6 hr |
| May 27, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 47 min |
| May 27, 5:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | McDonald | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 763 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 765 Severe thunderstorm watch 214
- Mesoscale Discussion 768 Severe potential...watch possible
- Mesoscale Discussion 769 Severe thunderstorm watch 214
- Mesoscale Discussion 772 Severe thunderstorm watch 214
- Mesoscale Discussion 774 Severe potential...watch unlikely
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 295 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -229 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 964 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 69 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted.
945
WWUS20 KWNS 271623
SEL4
SPC WW 271623
ILZ000-MOZ000-280000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 214
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Central and Southern Missouri
* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1125 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are developing along a line from southwest
Missouri into central Illinois. These storms will move
east-southeastward through the afternoon, posing a risk of large
hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles south of
Joplin MO to 35 miles east of Mattoon IL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 11:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 15 more | 86 min |
| May 27, 11:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford | 61 min |
| May 27, 2:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 23 more | 84 min |
| May 27, 4:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 47 more | 83 min |
| May 27, 5:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark and 41 more | 8 hr |
| May 27, 5:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi | 114 min |
| May 27, 12:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Christian, Clinton, Effingham, Fayette, Jersey and 12 more | 93 min |
| May 27, 2:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Effingham, Fayette and 16 more | 85 min |
| May 27, 3:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson and 14 more | 67 min |
| May 27, 12:51 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Buchanan, Platte | 84 min |
| May 27, 1:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bates, Buchanan, Cass, Clay, Jackson, Platte and 1 more | 7 hr |
| May 27, 5:28 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cass, Jackson | 92 min |
| May 27, 1:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Buchanan, Cass, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb and 2 more | 54 min |
| May 27, 6:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Audrain, Boone, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll and 27 more | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.