Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 762

May 27, 202113 counties in Kansas; Cass County, Jackson County, Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 27, 2021, 5:28 AM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; Cass County, Jackson County, Missouri. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2021, 5:28 AM CDT (10:28 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2021, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 213

Counties Anderson County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Miami County, KS, Osage County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Cass County, MO, Jackson County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 27 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 328 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
328 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2025 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

623 
ACUS11 KWNS 271029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271028 
MOZ000-KSZ000-271200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0762
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

Areas affected...East-Central KS...Far West-Central MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 213...

Valid 271028Z - 271200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 213
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for isolated damaging wind gusts continues
across east-central KS and into far west-central MO.

DISCUSSION...Organized convective line continues to push
southeastward across east-central KS at around 30 kt. Northern
portion of the line, which traveled a bit more eastward across far
northeast KS, has diminished over the past hour after moving into a
less favorable thermodynamic environment. The remainder of the line
continues progressing into the slightly more thermodynamically
supportive environment extending northward from southeast KS to near
EMP and TOP. Updraft strength has remained fairly consistent within
this portion of the line for the past hour. However, the line is
beginning to move out of the narrow corridor of more favorable
low-level moisture into an area characterized by dewpoints in the
low 60s (across east-central KS) to the upper 50s across far
west-central MO. 

Some weakening of updrafts has been noted within the past 15 minutes
or so, which may be a result of the line moving into this localized
region of lower dewpoints. Even with this weakening, isolated
damaging wind gusts remain possible with this line as it continues
southeastward.

..Mosier.. 05/27/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   39299627 39429556 39069411 38549400 38039470 38479675
            39299627

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Kiowa88 min
May 26, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Decatur, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell and 8 more116 min
May 26, 11:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Harper, Montgomery and 2 more64 min
May 27, 12:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 39 more84 min
May 27, 1:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chase and 32 more7 hr
May 27, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Clay, Cloud, Geary, Jackson, Marshall and 7 more58 min
May 27, 11:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery86 min
May 27, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas and 18 more54 min
May 27, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Johnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte87 min
May 27, 11:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Bollinger, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter and 45 more8 hr
May 27, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Crawford, Dallas, Dent, Franklin and 14 more93 min
May 27, 2:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Dunklin, Oregon, Ripley84 min
May 27, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 27 more85 min
May 27, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Madison, Oregon, Perry and 3 more67 min
May 27, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Scott and 1 more114 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.