Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 759

May 26, 20218 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Oklahoma; 17 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 26, 2021, 11:26 PM CDT for 8 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Oklahoma; 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2021, 11:26 PM CDT (04:26 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2021, 12:30 AM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 211
All 51 counties

Butler County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Elk County, KS, Harper County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Motley County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 321 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
321 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

827 
ACUS11 KWNS 270426
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270426 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-270530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0759
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1126 PM CDT Wed May 26 2021

Areas affected...Parts of the Texas Panhandle and western/northern
Oklahoma into southeastern Kansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 211...

Valid 270426Z - 270530Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 211 continues.

SUMMARY...A couple of lingering thunderstorms clusters may pose
continuing potential for strong surface gusts into the Midnight-2 AM
CDT time frame, but a general weakening of storms is expected to
proceed and a new severe weather watch does not appear needed.

DISCUSSION...Storms which generally initiated along the dryline have
either dissipated or consolidated into a couple of widely scattered
lingering clusters, ahead of lower/mid-tropospheric troughing
gradually shifting east of the Rockies into the Great Plains.  This
activity is currently near the eastern periphery of a southerly 850
mb jet, which has strengthened to 35-40+ kt, but is otherwise
embedded within fairly modest (20-30 kt) southwesterly deep-layer
ambient mean flow.  While potential inflow of moist air
characterized by sizable CAPE appears possible another couple of
hours, as activity progresses eastward, the strength of the inflow
may begin to weaken.  Latest MRMS CAPPI data suggest that weakening
trends are already underway, and this seems likely to continue.

..Kerr.. 05/27/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   33900255 34570216 35370134 36519945 37869740 37779648
            37039549 35529768 33820045 33560176 33900255

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Kiowa88 min
May 26, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Decatur, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell and 8 more116 min
May 27, 12:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 39 more84 min
May 27, 1:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Chase and 32 more7 hr
May 27, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Clay, Cloud, Geary, Jackson, Marshall and 7 more58 min
May 27, 5:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth and 7 more92 min
May 27, 11:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery86 min
May 27, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas and 18 more54 min
May 27, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Johnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte87 min
May 27, 11:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian and 39 more61 min
May 27, 11:58 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Alfalfa, Atoka, Beckham, Blaine, Bryan and 66 more9 hr
May 27, 1:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Garfield, Grant, Kay, Kingfisher, Logan and 6 more66 min
May 27, 3:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Canadian, Craig, Creek, Custer, Dewey and 13 more95 min
May 27, 5:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Cleveland, Comanche, Garvin, Grady, McClain and 2 more56 min
May 27, 6:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarmon2 hr
May 27, 2:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crane and 34 more115 min
May 27, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Brewster, Briscoe, Callahan and 46 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.