Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 213

May 27, 202138 counties in Kansas; 7 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2021, 1:05 AM CDT for 38 counties in Kansas; 7 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2021, 1:05 AM CDT (06:05 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2021, 8:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 45 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Brown County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Platte County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCloud, Republic33 min
May 27, 1:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPRepublic, Washington23 min
May 27, 1:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Republic, Washington49 min
May 27, 1:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTWilson, Woodson22 min
May 27, 2:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Marshall, Pottawatomie, Riley, Washington41 min
May 27, 2:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Crawford44 min
May 27, 2:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie, Riley51 min
May 27, 5:18 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPGeary, Morris4 hr
May 27, 5:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Osage, Shawnee29 min
May 27, 5:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin, Osage52 min
May 27, 6:14 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPLyon, Morris, Wabaunsee3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 328 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
328 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2025 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

313 
WWUS20 KWNS 270604
SEL3  
SPC WW 270604
KSZ000-MOZ000-271200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 213
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Kansas
  Far western Missouri

* Effective this Thursday morning from 105 AM until 700 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Multiple clusters with embedded supercells may further
consolidate and merge into a broader MCS across eastern Kansas
through the pre-dawn hours. Damaging winds should be the primary
overall threat.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast
of Manhattan KS to 20 miles southeast of Chanute KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 212...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Kiowa88 min
May 26, 9:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Decatur, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell and 8 more116 min
May 26, 11:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Harper, Montgomery and 2 more64 min
May 27, 12:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 39 more84 min
May 27, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Clay, Cloud, Geary, Jackson, Marshall and 7 more58 min
May 27, 5:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth and 7 more92 min
May 27, 11:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Crawford, Labette, Montgomery86 min
May 27, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Douglas and 18 more54 min
May 27, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Johnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte87 min
May 27, 11:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Bollinger, Camden, Cape Girardeau, Carter and 45 more8 hr
May 27, 12:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Crawford, Dallas, Dent, Franklin and 14 more93 min
May 27, 2:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Dunklin, Oregon, Ripley84 min
May 27, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Christian and 27 more85 min
May 27, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Madison, Oregon, Perry and 3 more67 min
May 27, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Scott and 1 more114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.