Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 45, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 14, 2021Karnes County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 14, 2021, 10:55 AM CDT for Karnes County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 14, 2021, 11:48 AM CDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2021, 10:55 AM CDT (15:55 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 14, 2021, 11:48 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 16, 2021, 8:24 AM CDT
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Karnes County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cibolo Creek near Falls City (FCTT2). The gauge peaked at 22.17 ft at Oct 15, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate0102010/1410/1510/1610/17
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
21 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08186000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

916 
WGUS44 KEWX 141555
FLWEWX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1055 AM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio TX has issued 
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Falls City...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM CDT.

&&


TXC255-150400-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0045.211014T1648Z-211015T1115Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.211014T1648Z.211014T1900Z.211014T2314Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until tomorrow morning.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate around flood stage with a 
  maximum value of 20.6 feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Livestock are cut off and potentially 
  drowned in low areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower 
  areas of Goliad State Park downstream flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.7 
  feet on 05/16/1994.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (11 am CDT)    
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  6.8   Thu 10 am CD 2.7   2.6   2.0          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

MORRIS
6 follow-up statements
005 
WGUS84 KEWX 141932
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
232 PM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Falls City...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 245 AM CDT.

&&


TXC255-150745-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211016T2230Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.211015T1500Z.211015T2200Z.211016T1030Z.NO/
232 PM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 2:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to 9.7 feet and then begin rising 
  this evening. It will then rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning to 18.6 feet tomorrow afternoon. It will fall to 18.5 feet 
  and then begin rising tomorrow afternoon. It will then rise again 
  to 18.6 feet tomorrow evening. It will fall below flood stage 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding of crop and 
  pastureland damages irrigation pumps and any equipment near the 
  channel. Livestock are cut off in low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.6 
  feet on 12/04/1965.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (3 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  13.0  Thu 2 pm CDT 18.1  12.4  2.3          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

MORRIS
978 
WGUS84 KEWX 150142
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
842 PM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Selma, Sutherland Springs, Falls City...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 845 AM CDT.

&&


TXC255-151345-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211017T0036Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.211015T0023Z.211016T0000Z.211016T1236Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Thu Oct 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM CDT Thursday was 17.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to crest around 20.2 feet tomorrow 
  evening. It will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Livestock are cut off and potentially 
  drowned in low areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower 
  areas of Goliad State Park downstream flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.7 
  feet on 05/16/1994.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (9 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  17.5  Thu 8 pm CDT 20.1  3.2   2.0          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

CP
584 
WGUS84 KEWX 151415
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
915 AM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Sutherland Springs, Falls City...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 915 PM CDT.

&&


TXC255-160215-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211017T0115Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.211015T0023Z.211015T2100Z.211016T1315Z.NO/
915 AM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until tomorrow evening.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Friday was 18.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 20.2 feet this evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning to 2.5 feet and begin 
  rising again late Sunday morning. It will rise to 2.6 feet early 
  Sunday afternoon. It will then fall to 1.7 feet and begin rising 
  again late Monday morning. It will rise to 2.0 feet late Monday 
  evening. It will then fall again and remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Livestock are cut off and potentially 
  drowned in low areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower 
  areas of Goliad State Park downstream flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.7 
  feet on 05/16/1994.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (9 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  18.6  Fri 8 am CDT 16.7  2.5   1.7          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

MORRIS
760 
WGUS44 KEWX 151841
FLWEWX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
141 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Sutherland Springs, Falls City...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 145 AM CDT.

&&


TXC255-160645-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211017T0024Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.211015T0023Z.211015T2300Z.211016T1224Z.NO/
141 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until tomorrow evening.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 PM CDT Friday was 20.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.2 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Livestock are cut off and potentially 
  drowned in low areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower 
  areas of Goliad State Park downstream flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 
  feet on 11/01/2015.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (2 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  20.7  Fri 1 pm CDT 13.2  2.2   1.9          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

MORRIS
132 
WGUS84 KEWX 160043
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
743 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

For the Cibolo...including Selma, Sutherland Springs, Falls City...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning at 745 AM CDT.

&&


TXC255-161245-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211017T0020Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.211015T0023Z.211016T0100Z.211016T1220Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Fri Oct 15 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* Until tomorrow evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Friday was 22.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting at 22.2 feet now. It will then 
  fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Livestock are cut off and potentially 
  drowned in low areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower 
  areas of Goliad State Park downstream flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2 
  feet on 06/05/1986.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  22.2  Fri 7 pm CDT 6.9   2.2   1.9          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

CP
801 
WGUS84 KEWX 161324
FLSEWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
824 AM CDT Sat Oct 16 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City affecting Karnes County.

TXC255-161430-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-211016T1324Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.211015T0023Z.211016T0130Z.211016T1309Z.NO/
824 AM CDT Sat Oct 16 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 1.7 feet Thursday 
  morning.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Cibolo Creek
Falls City  17.0  16.9  Sat 8 am CDT 4.3   2.0   1.8          





&&

LAT...LON 2903 9798 2908 9791 2894 9780 2892 9790

$$

YURA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 7:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKendall46 min
Oct 13, 7:53 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr3 hr
Oct 13, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXBlanco, Comal, Kendall25 min
Oct 13, 8:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXWilliamson39 min
Oct 13, 8:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXComal, Hays47 min
Oct 13, 8:35 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBlanco3 hr
Oct 13, 8:55 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBlanco, Kendall6 hr
Oct 13, 9:25 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Comal, Hays3 hr
Oct 13, 9:49 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXBexar, Comal3 hr
Oct 13, 9:55 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXTravis3 hr
Oct 13, 10:24 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXWilliamson3 hr
Oct 13, 10:38 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXHays, Travis3 hr
Oct 13, 10:52 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBlanco, Hays3 hr
Oct 13, 11:00 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXHays6 hr
Oct 13, 11:49 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Travis, Williamson4 hr
Oct 13, 11:59 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe4 hr
Oct 14, 12:46 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXCaldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays10 hr
Oct 14, 12:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXHays4 hr
Oct 14, 1:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBexar, Comal4 hr
Oct 14, 1:11 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXCaldwell, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Wilson3 hr
Oct 14, 1:50 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe7 hr
Oct 14, 2:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGonzales41 min
Oct 14, 2:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGonzales51 min
Oct 14, 2:48 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXGonzales, Lavaca27 min
Oct 14, 3:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Guadalupe4 hr
Oct 14, 3:17 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Fayette, Lee3 hr
Oct 14, 3:19 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXGonzales, Lavaca26 min
Oct 14, 3:39 AM CDTTornado WarningEWXFayette, Gonzales, Lavaca36 min
Oct 14, 3:42 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXCaldwell, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Karnes, Lavaca, Wilson7 hr
Oct 14, 4:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal, Gonzales, Guadalupe3 hr
Oct 14, 4:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXFayette, Gonzales, Lavaca66 min
Oct 14, 5:07 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXFayette5 hr
Oct 14, 5:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLavaca21 min
Oct 14, 5:36 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Hays8 hr
Oct 14, 5:36 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXCaldwell, Gonzales38 hr
Oct 14, 6:27 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXDeWitt, Karnes, Lavaca6 hr
Oct 14, 7:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXTravis6 hr
Oct 14, 7:19 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGonzales3 days
Oct 14, 7:52 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXGuadalupe3 hr
Oct 14, 8:23 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar7 hr
Oct 14, 8:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar21 hr
Oct 14, 8:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson29 hr
Oct 14, 8:29 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar12 hr
Oct 14, 9:10 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt3 days
Oct 14, 9:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt5 days
Oct 14, 10:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes, Wilson33 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.